NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f2a7450fac69a2e17e5230dfb7ea4780c733b44348b23764301b63213409d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over | 42c | 4,936$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 59c | 3,785$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 2,872$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.57 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 59c | 1,968$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.16 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 1,577$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.17 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.55 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Under | 58c | 1,155$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.05 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Under | 80c | 1,155$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 41c | 1,003$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.05 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 854$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Under | 60c | 667.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 40c | 592.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.75 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Under | 58c | 563.79$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Under | 63c | 440.37$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Over | 46c | 410.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.03 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 43c | 387$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.01 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 371.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.27 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Over | 41c | 366.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 73c | 261.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 57c | 260$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 254.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 57c | 232.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 42c | 206$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Under | 39c | 180.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 69c | 164.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 19c | 151.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 29c | 135$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 30c | 115.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…5a37backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 30c | 63.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…ad52backed Under | 62c | 57.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 71c | 57.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 22c | 54.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 41c | 45.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 59c | 38.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 57c | 36.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 32c | 36.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 75c | 34.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…1663backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 60c | 23.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 43c | 23.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…e701backed Under | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 55c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 74c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Wild vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.