TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb90e…5794

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT7263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$26.34
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,461Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+33.6%+$490.25
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$60.59
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$157.34
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$438.92
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$171.18
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$132.61
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$31.43
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$10
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$251.89
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,708Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$510.26
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+67.1%+$402.13
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$154.11
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$44.23
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+49.6%+$584.29
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+26.6%+$259.68
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+29.9%+$448.05
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+66.7%+$40
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+63.4%+$103.75
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4178%32 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$541.67
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.68
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$105.33
Will Patrick Mahomes score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$165.88
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.3
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$51.17
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$61.91
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.8%+$1,747.39
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+56.8%+$777.03
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,888Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+51.5%+$972.64
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+92.5%+$791.81
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+40.8%+$112.43
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,502Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+33.9%+$848.41
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,359Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+36.6%+$862.34
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+36.6%+$536.79
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+39.7%+$134.8
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+35.1%+$43.62
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+81.8%+$55.92
Will the Packers and Saints combine for 43 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+66.7%+$330.05
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$98.89
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+29.2%+$228.16
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,806Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+40.8%+$1,146.13
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+32.4%+$1,666.71
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$104.83
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.29
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+127.3%+$165.45
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$86.85
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+178.4%+$296.69
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$460.55
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$420.81
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+70.7%+$706.98
Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$620.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+47.6%+$1,505.63
Will Aston Villa vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+40.4%+$208.91
Will Ipswich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$560.71
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$2,300
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,833Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+36.5%+$669.86
Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+298.4%+$1,374.32
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$1,150
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+354.5%+$171.6
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$34.6
Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+455.6%+$139.95
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+72.4%+$210
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$139.52
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+53.8%+$70.01
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$298.65
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+100%+$50
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Greenbacked Bowling Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$75
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$95.83
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+33.3%+$50
Tulane vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+26.6%+$73.68
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,499Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+32.3%+$1,451.91
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,394Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+46.7%+$1,586.19
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+32.5%+$289.18
Will Army beat Navy by 7 or more points?backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$350
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-54.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.53
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.42
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.55
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$25.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$61.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.