NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff3d16312f639087c6efb6aef815b893c6495e53ca1bbb49604937a0e80d7f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Bulls, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $539,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 689 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bulls | 55c | 125,042$69,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,119.88 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bulls | 0c | 44,789$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 38c | 28,193$10,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,397.27 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Wizards | 55c | 23,599$12,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,665.94 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Wizards | 31c | 18,661$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,935.67 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Bulls | 42c | 17,251$7,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,205.12 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 40c | 16,420$6,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,816.93 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Wizards | 49c | 16,130$7,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,256.79 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Wizards | 32c | 13,352$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,019.98 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 43c | 13,215$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524.33 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 60c | 12,931$7,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.42 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 50c | 11,466$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,741.36 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Bulls | 69c | 10,877$7,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,504.98 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Wizards | 44c | 10,837$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080.04 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 31c | 10,612$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.03 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Wizards | 57c | 8,438$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.69 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bulls | 67c | 6,451$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 33c | 5,817$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.3 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e9…7003backed Bulls | 0c | 5,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 4c | 5,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 32c | 4,938$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.82 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Wizards | 32c | 4,788$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.07 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Bulls | 56c | 4,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Bulls | 50c | 3,292$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Bulls | 49c | 2,918$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.84 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wizards | 46c | 2,900$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.34 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Wizards | 58c | 2,826$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.33 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Wizards | 33c | 2,800$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.85 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Bulls | 4c | 2,777$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Bulls | 4c | 2,180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Wizards | 45c | 2,029$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.2 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards | 32c | 2,000$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 31c | 1,980$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.97 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Bulls | 69c | 1,884$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…5634backed Wizards | 32c | 1,780$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…7415backed Bulls | 69c | 1,746$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Wizards | 32c | 1,732$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.28 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Wizards | 32c | 1,719$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 30c | 1,638$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.17 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Bulls | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Bulls | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Bulls | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.76 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Bulls | 70c | 1,350$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Bulls | 56c | 1,337$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Wizards | 31c | 1,294$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.55 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed Bulls | 69c | 1,163$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,099$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.26 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bulls | 70c | 1,002$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.44 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 58c | 1,000$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.18 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls | 60c | 1,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…256dbacked Bulls | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Bulls | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…5e3fbacked Wizards | 30c | 999.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Wizards | 32c | 999.9$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bulls | 16c | 970$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Bulls | 6c | 938.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards | 65c | 921.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.48 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Wizards | 54c | 904.6$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.39 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 32c | 882.96$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.56 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Bulls | 65c | 876$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.92 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Bulls | 34c | 801.44$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Bulls | 22c | 796.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 42c | 765.19$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.55 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Bulls | 59c | 757.47$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.76 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 31c | 749.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.86 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bulls | 68c | 736.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Wizards | 26c | 729.37$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.8 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…3728backed Bulls | 69c | 726.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bulls | 69c | 724.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…600cbacked Wizards | 33c | 721.05$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Bulls | 70c | 719.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 2c | 699.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Bulls | 73c | 693.35$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.85 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Wizards | 35c | 661.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.22 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 62c | 651.27$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.69 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Bulls | 68c | 630.61$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.68 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…1bbcbacked Wizards | 32c | 628.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Wizards | 52c | 617.27$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.45 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Bulls | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…19bcbacked Bulls | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Bulls | 56c | 599.99$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Bulls | 67c | 590.67$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.75 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Wizards | 49c | 585.41$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.93 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Bulls | 79c | 580.46$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.74 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Bulls | 66c | 570.19$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 32c | 563$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.84 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Bulls | 64c | 551.33$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.57 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Wizards | 29c | 548.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.86 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Bulls | 68c | 547.65$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Wizards | 33c | 545.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.93 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Bulls | 71c | 528.17$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Bulls | 77c | 522.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…42a0backed Bulls | 66c | 509.08$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Bulls | 60c | 508.33$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bulls | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Bulls | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Bulls | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Wizards | 62c | 475.84$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bulls | 68c | 474.78$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.32 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.