TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf62d…2a10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$379.1
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$88.88
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$430.77
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.72
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.45
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.04
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Sada Nahimana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$57
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibsonbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$82.14
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Edas Butvilasbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.08
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.61
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023.38
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,408.86
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,921.14
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,687.15
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Tai Sachbacked Tai Sach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,073.76
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,609Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$2,523.86
Oeiras 3: Guy Den Ouden vs Jaime Fariabacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,747.12
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.97
Wuning 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Braden Shickbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.34
Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$9,803Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$4,784.34
Set 1 Winner: Nava vs Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$457.13
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,079.99
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,762.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17,784Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$14,345.61
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$443.39
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$1,325.51
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,196.49
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,849.98
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,300
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,159.22
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$305
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$255
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$234.65
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+65.9%+$849.15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+46.1%+$400.73
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+100.1%+$491.37
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+86.6%+$247.04
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$45.5
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$499.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$56.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$98.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$145.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$139.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45,910.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.