Tennis · resolved market
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99700d8bbd1407f5062208581ef89c9ff6b83f09a42a6d1e09f859bb27e87b94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomas Machacof Tomas Machac, Sebastian Baez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $624,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Sebastian Baez | 48c | 192,202$92,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,180.66 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tomas Machac | 54c | 80,153$43,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,038.6 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tomas Machac | 74c | 76,087$56,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,972.03 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tomas Machac | 52c | 32,100$16,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,429.01 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tomas Machac | 67c | 27,948$18,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,353.35 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Tomas Machac | 42c | 25,709$10,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,006.93 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Sebastian Baez | 35c | 13,643$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Sebastian Baez | 52c | 13,623$7,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,016.29 | 644 | 55.3%356 W · 288 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Sebastian Baez | 53c | 9,168$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Tomas Machac | 58c | 8,403$4,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.45 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 8,051$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.15 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 7,476$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.06 | 183 | 48.1%88 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Tomas Machac | 50c | 7,167$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.08 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Tomas Machac | 58c | 6,015$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.34 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Tomas Machac | 63c | 5,804$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.41 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Tomas Machac | 44c | 4,436$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.09 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Tomas Machac | 30c | 4,139$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.92 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tomas Machac | 79c | 4,112$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.33 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tomas Machac | 49c | 4,044$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.27 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Tomas Machac | 77c | 3,919$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.09 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Sebastian Baez | 57c | 3,425$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.43 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 3,149$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.18 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Sebastian Baez | 35c | 2,700$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Sebastian Baez | 61c | 2,676$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.03 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Tomas Machac | 36c | 2,652$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.06 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Sebastian Baez | 2c | 2,497$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sebastian Baez | 41c | 2,472$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.54 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sebastian Baez | 28c | 2,454$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.24 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Sebastian Baez | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.95 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tomas Machac | 54c | 2,044$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.4 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 2,003$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.23 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Sebastian Baez | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Tomas Machac | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Tomas Machac | 49c | 1,996$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.25 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Tomas Machac | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.88 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tomas Machac | 43c | 1,947$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.67 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tomas Machac | 80c | 1,914$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.36 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tomas Machac | 70c | 1,888$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.22 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Tomas Machac | 67c | 1,860$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.91 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tomas Machac | 66c | 1,848$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.78 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Tomas Machac | 67c | 1,840$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.58 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sebastian Baez | 44c | 1,809$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tomas Machac | 55c | 1,777$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.45 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 1,707$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.31 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Tomas Machac | 67c | 1,581$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.23 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Sebastian Baez | 46c | 1,398$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.6 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Tomas Machac | 53c | 1,280$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.82 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Tomas Machac | 79c | 1,253$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.31 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Sebastian Baez | 43c | 1,253$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.64 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Sebastian Baez | 42c | 1,229$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…db19backed Sebastian Baez | 53c | 1,187$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 1,156$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.55 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Tomas Machac | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tomas Machac | 54c | 1,095$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Tomas Machac | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Tomas Machac | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Tomas Machac | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Tomas Machac | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Tomas Machac | 58c | 996.49$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.53 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea4…efe6backed Tomas Machac | 57c | 994.74$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Tomas Machac | 41c | 964.6$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 247 | 40.5%100 W · 147 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tomas Machac | 40c | 964$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tomas Machac | 50c | 952.48$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 887.95$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.94 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Sebastian Baez | 78c | 836.26$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.64 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Tomas Machac | 61c | 808.54$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.42 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 795.07$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Sebastian Baez | 59c | 793.7$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.9 | 702 | 52.8%371 W · 331 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Tomas Machac | 27c | 749.75$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.8 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Tomas Machac | 52c | 744.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.59 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Tomas Machac | 40c | 724.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.72 | 179 | 55.9%100 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Tomas Machac | 44c | 723.24$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.03 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Tomas Machac | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Sebastian Baez | 10c | 703.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Sebastian Baez | 34c | 682.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sebastian Baez | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Tomas Machac | 73c | 648.22$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed Tomas Machac | 79c | 643.73$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Tomas Machac | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Tomas Machac | 56c | 573.73$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 364 | 48.9%178 W · 186 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Tomas Machac | 74c | 556.92$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Tomas Machac | 61c | 545.1$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.62 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Tomas Machac | 52c | 539.16$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.14 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Tomas Machac | 69c | 533.19$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Tomas Machac | 59c | 520.4$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Tomas Machac | 44c | 501.28$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Tomas Machac | 59c | 497.02$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 1,667 | 52.8%881 W · 786 L | +43.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Sebastian Baez | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Tomas Machac | 23c | 474.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.49 | 488 | 35.9%175 W · 313 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Tomas Machac | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Sebastian Baez | 61c | 439.26$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…56d1backed Sebastian Baez | 54c | 432.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.37 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Tomas Machac | 70c | 419.09$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Tomas Machac | 53c | 415.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Tomas Machac | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Tomas Machac | 58c | 385.47$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tomas Machac | 61c | 380.79$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Sebastian Baez | 68c | 376.56$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.91 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Machac vs BaezBaez won
- Set Handicap: Machac (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)Baez won
- Tomas Machac vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.