TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf68e…85e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$317.86
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$55.49
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.43
Fabian Marozsan vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.41
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchetbacked Jessika Ponchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
Arthur Fils vs. Terence Atmane: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.09
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.23
Barcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$80.27
Brandon Nakashima vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$79.87
Set 1 Winner: Navone vs Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.48
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$288.45
Mariano Navone vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$88.11
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$135.18
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.44
Set 1 Winner: Roncadelli vs Sakamotobacked Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.24
Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs Hanfmannbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Trungelliti vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs Medjedovicbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$131.55
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$76.19
Set 1 Winner: Nava vs Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+39%+$76.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.43
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$959.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.13
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$264.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.44
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$50.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.6
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$156.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$33.03
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$144.9
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$98.35
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$108.48
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$61.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$102.93
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.21
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.35
Avalanche vs. Flames: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$51.37
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$162.59
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will Real Zaragoza vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$190.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.