TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof Legacy, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,242,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,159,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,242,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed MOUZ45c200,257$90,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,444.595238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Legacy36c68,810$24,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,838.814441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed MOUZ17c67,263$11,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,828.6122049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked MOUZ73c50,000$36,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,499.9839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked MOUZ48c35,567$16,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,666.295641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed MOUZ64c35,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.9725842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c9…09f8backed Legacy53c34,908$18,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,351.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Legacy43c28,207$12,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,181.923839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed MOUZ73c24,039$17,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,548.2929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Legacy50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Legacy27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ50c19,407$9,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,703.8375758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9c…95d1backed Legacy53c17,928$9,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,452.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Legacy52c17,739$9,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,265.1881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ72c17,012$12,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,763.4375452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd572…c829backed Legacy14c13,980$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy39c12,909$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.932,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Legacy28c12,340$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.8914954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Legacy30c11,413$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,446.9232425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ26c11,077$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,242.8419757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ65c10,725$6,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.975350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Legacy51c10,637$5,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,471.9564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Legacy35c9,238$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.553930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c3…5947backed MOUZ48c8,073$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.131330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed MOUZ65c7,405$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.5211655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Legacy34c7,398$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.813043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Legacy36c7,369$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.9320554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Legacy27c6,845$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.116656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Legacy35c6,666$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.097256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ31c6,250$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.9942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Legacy26c6,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed MOUZ73c5,904$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.394643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Legacy53c5,262$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.853,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Legacy35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.9921424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy60c4,900$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.641,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Legacy58c4,887$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.3388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy32c4,867$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.151,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Legacy52c4,858$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.3764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ65c4,669$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.0937346.4%173 W · 200 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Legacy53c4,552$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Legacy28c4,348$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.578938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Legacy43c4,336$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.843,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ69c4,272$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.727452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Legacy21c4,105$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.4817042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Legacy36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44033452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked MOUZ73c3,750$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.665750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked MOUZ66c3,724$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.0922949.8%114 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Legacy27c3,717$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.718341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Legacy28c3,543$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.587425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Legacy55c3,431$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.1320448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Legacy53c3,363$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.2997952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked MOUZ46c3,270$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.2678963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ44c3,253$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.652,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be2…494abacked MOUZ67c3,168$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Legacy39c3,132$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.1178639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy56c3,102$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.911,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Legacy41c3,095$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.86,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Legacy32c3,069$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.61,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Legacy27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Legacy35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Legacy27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.991,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Legacy52c2,989$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.2251252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Legacy40c2,971$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.2166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed MOUZ65c2,966$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.2312651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Legacy27c2,960$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.194032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed MOUZ66c2,939$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.1922358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Legacy45c2,671$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.188032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked Legacy36c2,671$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.64843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed MOUZ67c2,590$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.6915264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ61c2,378$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.542,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Legacy29c2,067$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3320838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Legacy74c2,035$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.8835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed MOUZ73c2,022$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Legacy13c2,015$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9448437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked MOUZ71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5809047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Legacy34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68011249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Legacy40c1,961$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.061,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Legacy61c1,908$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.542,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed Legacy29c1,891$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.649540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ64c1,836$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.631,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.018654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Legacy55c1,769$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97319229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy26c1,762$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.941,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed Legacy56c1,753$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.313447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed MOUZ75c1,750$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Legacy20c1,714$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7121528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy51c1,698$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.2587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4200backed Legacy47c1,679$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ41c1,673$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.2850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Legacy35c1,647$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.624944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Legacy20c1,604$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1435249.7%175 W · 177 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ52c1,603$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.814,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Legacy27c1,571$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.085,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ60c1,531$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.577,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked MOUZ65c1,506$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1519355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Legacy45c1,465$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.4418547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed MOUZ65c1,444$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Legacy56c1,396$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.3875145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Legacy69c1,348$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.828951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.