TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64f7…afa6backed MOUZ41c5,953$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.129852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Legacy56c4,771$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.521,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Legacy55c4,712$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.0833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy55c4,130$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.7687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ37c4,067$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.786,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Legacy50c3,846$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.9746749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Legacy75c3,822$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.8817062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed MOUZ6c3,745$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.78938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked MOUZ47c3,098$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.192748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ31c2,963$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Legacy62c2,956$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.771,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MOUZ46c2,297$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.7175245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Legacy60c1,936$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.7220448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ35c1,865$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.334,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ45c1,837$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.8988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy55c1,818$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.921,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked MOUZ41c1,760$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.934946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ36c1,759$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.923,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Legacy59c1,463$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.7253545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ45c1,461$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.831,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Legacy76c1,286$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.1239970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ32c1,191$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.351,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ61c1,103$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.9560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy58c1,100$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.654,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Legacy58c1,099$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.0239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked MOUZ46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.823249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ47c1,015$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.941,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Legacy64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed MOUZ46c968.58$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.085347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed MOUZ38c847$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Legacy54c799.99$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3641866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked MOUZ44c799.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9994645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19e…c764backed MOUZ46c750$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Legacy68c729.12$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.475,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Legacy54c718.63$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Legacy59c665.23$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1541850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ18c663.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.091,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Legacy44c653.02$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.0313238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Legacy58c649.82$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.391,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4c…9258backed MOUZ53c637.75$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed MOUZ51c571.38$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.185549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked MOUZ54c532.69$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.728951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ36c526.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.732,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed MOUZ12c524.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.779834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb5c…fe49backed MOUZ43c508.5$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked MOUZ38c506.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5617850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed MOUZ38c506.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5610442.3%44 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed MOUZ58c491.53$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0624457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Legacy62c476.12$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.31947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Legacy56c470.21$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8928657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Legacy53c449.13$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.721351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Legacy58c439.19$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.393,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Legacy57c378.78$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8811561.7%71 W · 44 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ35c368.09$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.982,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Legacy58c348.2$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.323748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Legacy57c341.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0584037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd0…389fbacked Legacy66c335.17$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.772263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Legacy60c332.76$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.691,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed MOUZ59c331.38$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0642651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Legacy57c324.68$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.473562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed MOUZ43c322.59$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1919142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2361…254abacked MOUZ54c310.97$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Legacy49c297.77$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3832653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Legacy55c297.6$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0460838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed MOUZ26c296.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7714443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84c…d035backed Legacy57c282.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.772147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed MOUZ55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ17c268.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.872,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked MOUZ36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1628143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed MOUZ37c262.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed MOUZ37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2247447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy57c258.17$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0869635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ9c251.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1654732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed MOUZ47c248.64$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4317153.2%91 W · 80 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ49c242.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.757,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ50c240.45$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.025,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e2…a0d5backed Legacy65c240.11$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.041181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed MOUZ30c238.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0262538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked Legacy60c233.35$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3411345.1%51 W · 62 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Legacy57c220.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5455950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Legacy44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12319351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Legacy37c219.37$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.22835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Legacy49c203.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf551…fb1dbacked MOUZ45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Legacy40c192.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6850947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked MOUZ20c190.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0820433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed MOUZ17c189.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.318324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ35c170$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.333,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d6…0c2abacked MOUZ20c169.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3611032.7%36 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed MOUZ45c168.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.837850%39 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…3a5dbacked MOUZ29c162.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.732356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Legacy58c156.54$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7512259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed MOUZ32c150.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9713036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked MOUZ57c146.91$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1338454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151e…58debacked Legacy67c145.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.913765%89 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Legacy55c138.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9547260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f0…2923backed MOUZ57c138.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.916543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed MOUZ45c136.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.544837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x292d…1321backed Legacy54c136.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.845100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed MOUZ29c132.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.38563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.