TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9942…5c84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
638
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT32653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 326 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$69.61
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$130.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$427.38
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.09
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.82
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$382.36
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$205.81
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$413.43
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,586Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$716.56
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.65
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.52
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$152.38
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.43
Showing 25 of 326 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT26453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 264 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$191.18
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$131.79
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$263.08
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$155.62
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$257.21
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.94
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$676.83
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$382.49
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$324.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.22
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.56
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$333.22
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$524.77
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$466.27
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.59
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$111.91
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$110.23
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+70%+$341.39
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$584.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.9
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.68
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.85
Showing 25 of 264 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$465.72
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$282.36
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$13.8
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$281.91
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$293.48
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Kings vs. Senatorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$240.2
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+115.6%+$289.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$70.51
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$293.48
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$221.7
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$70.51
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$270.83
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$188.6
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.8%+$31.76
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+212.5%+$531.25
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.99
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$87.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$155.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.