TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ56c49,988$27,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,993.2276657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA45c25,278$11,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,939.083,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed FURIA66c14,795$9,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,030.2112571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA44c13,589$5,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,602.7539248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed MOUZ37c7,074$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.0812454%67 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA45c6,676$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.512,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FURIA64c5,310$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.631,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9978…a49ebacked MOUZ11c4,454$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.191225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed FURIA69c4,045$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.978750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA50c2,954$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.42,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ34c2,881$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.6121956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ34c2,881$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.287940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed FURIA44c2,833$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.9251252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA49c2,760$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.31,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA44c2,719$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.621,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ56c2,608$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.765,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbf…8c7bbacked MOUZ34c2,389$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…dd32backed MOUZ56c2,298$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.792020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed FURIA45c2,297$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.555042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA54c2,161$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.091,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA42c2,112$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.5989546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed FURIA44c1,924$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.3745859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked MOUZ62c1,888$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.0119355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed FURIA42c1,858$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.2313044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked MOUZ53c1,842$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.6526045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked MOUZ53c1,808$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.6778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ56c1,737$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.6320946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed FURIA46c1,713$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.7611133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed MOUZ57c1,709$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.24953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked MOUZ57c1,698$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.4465950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ57c1,643$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.512148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ63c1,559$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.1522550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ20c1,352$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked MOUZ23c1,326$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.282962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ17c1,323$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8817148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f97…eca4backed FURIA45c1,281$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA44c1,248$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.0565351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked FURIA37c1,246$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.9529235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed FURIA45c1,191$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.7314955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ54c1,171$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.2372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ38c1,146$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.5740853.7%219 W · 189 L+24.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FURIA52c1,102$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.993,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed MOUZ61c1,065$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.449635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA47c1,059$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.231,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked FURIA46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.048232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked FURIA69c1,010$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.228951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA47c1,007$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.9682143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9975550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA44c999.93$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.961,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731c…9819backed FURIA69c987.89$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.751330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+116.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ33c978.12$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.8235643%153 W · 203 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed MOUZ56c970.41$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.548947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA56c970.36$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.715,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed MOUZ51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.332653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked FURIA41c944.44$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.641353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed FURIA44c929.78$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.032665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed MOUZ53c922$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.811225%3 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2978…4a1cbacked MOUZ55c920$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ33c916.64$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3211638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ48c911.18$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.751,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked FURIA68c907.9$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8517357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA60c880.33$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.296,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA50c847.37$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5287847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed MOUZ55c823.29$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.814766%31 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac3…66eabacked FURIA44c802.6$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.932466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed FURIA46c788.19$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6248939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked MOUZ51c776.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eaf…1a93backed MOUZ9c775$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52850%14 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed MOUZ51c764.92$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1128248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed MOUZ44c748.78$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8836555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ55c743.62$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed MOUZ16c736.73$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7496945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed FURIA59c731.55$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.943036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA53c724.19$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.071,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed FURIA45c716.44$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0425147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7bd…19a9backed MOUZ10c709.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed MOUZ53c683.8$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7416347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed FURIA67c667$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1126549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed MOUZ57c661.43$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.0242751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d56…52b1backed MOUZ18c630.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.043050%15 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0965…ac46backed MOUZ9c614.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed FURIA68c574.45$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1822555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ55c553.8$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5940655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed FURIA58c525.44$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8725042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ55c523.48$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.884,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed FURIA44c512.8$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.171625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked MOUZ57c512.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2623056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA51c510.28$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.782,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed FURIA44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28012752%66 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed MOUZ55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27534235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA52c496.03$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.21,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed FURIA44c486.92$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6712426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FURIA33c484.1$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.761,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked FURIA44c483.2$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.5940950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked MOUZ47c475$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2621557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed FURIA44c439.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9921246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ32c436.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9449646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked FURIA44c434.88$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5394945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked FURIA46c420.8$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2815838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked FURIA61c409.31$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1429555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.