CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f930dea0fc9c2ddba734771b04b90a9ca1920470fd977736531689a4c6c4f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 56c | 49,988$27,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,993.22 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 45c | 25,278$11,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,939.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed FURIA | 66c | 14,795$9,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.21 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA | 44c | 13,589$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,602.75 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed MOUZ | 37c | 7,074$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.08 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA | 45c | 6,676$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.51 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FURIA | 64c | 5,310$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.63 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked MOUZ | 11c | 4,454$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed FURIA | 69c | 4,045$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.97 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA | 50c | 2,954$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.4 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,881$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.61 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,881$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.28 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed FURIA | 44c | 2,833$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.92 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA | 49c | 2,760$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.3 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 44c | 2,719$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.62 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 56c | 2,608$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.76 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…8c7bbacked MOUZ | 34c | 2,389$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…dd32backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,298$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed FURIA | 45c | 2,297$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.55 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA | 54c | 2,161$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.09 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA | 42c | 2,112$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.59 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed FURIA | 44c | 1,924$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.37 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked MOUZ | 62c | 1,888$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.01 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed FURIA | 42c | 1,858$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.23 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,842$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.65 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,808$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.67 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,737$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.63 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed FURIA | 46c | 1,713$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.76 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.2 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,698$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.44 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,643$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.5 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,559$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.15 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,352$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.83 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked MOUZ | 23c | 1,326$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.28 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 17c | 1,323$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eca4backed FURIA | 45c | 1,281$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA | 44c | 1,248$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.05 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked FURIA | 37c | 1,246$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.95 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FURIA | 45c | 1,191$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.73 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,171$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.23 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,146$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.57 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FURIA | 52c | 1,102$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.99 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,065$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.44 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA | 47c | 1,059$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.23 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked FURIA | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.04 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked FURIA | 69c | 1,010$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA | 47c | 1,007$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.96 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 44c | 999.93$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.96 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed FURIA | 69c | 987.89$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 33c | 978.12$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed MOUZ | 56c | 970.41$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.54 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FURIA | 56c | 970.36$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.71 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed MOUZ | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked FURIA | 41c | 944.44$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed FURIA | 44c | 929.78$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.03 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed MOUZ | 53c | 922$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked MOUZ | 55c | 920$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ | 33c | 916.64$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.32 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 911.18$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.75 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked FURIA | 68c | 907.9$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA | 60c | 880.33$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.29 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FURIA | 50c | 847.37$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.52 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed MOUZ | 55c | 823.29$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.81 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…66eabacked FURIA | 44c | 802.6$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.93 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed FURIA | 46c | 788.19$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.62 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked MOUZ | 51c | 776.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…1a93backed MOUZ | 9c | 775$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 51c | 764.92$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.11 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed MOUZ | 44c | 748.78$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.88 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ | 55c | 743.62$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed MOUZ | 16c | 736.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed FURIA | 59c | 731.55$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA | 53c | 724.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.07 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed FURIA | 45c | 716.44$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.04 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…19a9backed MOUZ | 10c | 709.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed MOUZ | 53c | 683.8$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.74 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed FURIA | 67c | 667$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.11 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed MOUZ | 57c | 661.43$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.02 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…52b1backed MOUZ | 18c | 630.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…ac46backed MOUZ | 9c | 614.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed FURIA | 68c | 574.45$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 553.8$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.59 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed FURIA | 58c | 525.44$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 55c | 523.48$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.88 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…b3d2backed FURIA | 44c | 512.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA | 51c | 510.28$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.78 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed FURIA | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed MOUZ | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 52c | 496.03$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed FURIA | 44c | 486.92$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.67 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FURIA | 33c | 484.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.76 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked FURIA | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 475$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.26 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed FURIA | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 32c | 436.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked FURIA | 44c | 434.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked FURIA | 46c | 420.8$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.28 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked FURIA | 61c | 409.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.