TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa05c…aa9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
405
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT21557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 215 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$270
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$48.15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$132.84
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$36.82
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$22.73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Showing 25 of 215 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT6431.3%20 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+105.1%+$24.63
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+239.7%+$95.87
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$32.99
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$79
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$47.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$145
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.33
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+280.5%+$60.03
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.57
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+36%+$88.51
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$293.13
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.06
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+57.2%+$183.03
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$495
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62.9
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$112.36
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.7
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$57.93
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.52
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+51%+$112.14
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$139.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-65.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$943
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.07
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51.5
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+64.4%+$71.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+81.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+663.4%+$347.6
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+172.8%+$132.2
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90.26
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+316.7%+$126.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.31
Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.39
Will CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$170.98
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+323.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+323.7%+$64.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.