Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3421fb2daf5cca7430ed8d8132463963081572d75434393a1808fdb8829fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,092,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,864,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,092,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 16,850 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 8c | 2,123,189$163,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,872.02 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 1,745,759$135,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,680.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 8c | 989,997$83,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,197.28 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 6c | 928,389$51,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,554 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e1…b968backed Yes | 6c | 876,636$54,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,763.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…a33bbacked Yes | 10c | 833,953$85,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,501.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea2…e981backed Yes | 7c | 780,118$52,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,356.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca23…0e77backed Yes | 8c | 768,978$58,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,445.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…78f1backed Yes | 7c | 735,038$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…93b0backed Yes | 6c | 705,303$38,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,926.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 5c | 634,839$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c9…85e4backed Yes | 8c | 622,817$49,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,536.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…ccb8backed Yes | 11c | 581,094$62,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,643.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 8c | 549,533$41,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,264.42 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…c539backed Yes | 5c | 527,811$26,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,593.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 1c | 525,309$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,474.84 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 7c | 500,197$36,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,217.56 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 490,588$36,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,557.95 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 1c | 467,867$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.13 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 7c | 460,329$32,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,060 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…28d6backed Yes | 7c | 458,289$32,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,237.15 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 6c | 448,069$25,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,614.66 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af4…9179backed Yes | 8c | 441,000$34,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,115.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 437,955$38,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,248.51 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 5c | 434,539$20,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,462.96 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 7c | 433,000$30,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,838.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 7c | 403,003$29,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,796.32 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbf…b0eebacked Yes | 7c | 399,953$27,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,699.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…0d33backed Yes | 6c | 387,135$22,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,552.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 8c | 379,175$28,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,701.49 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 9c | 357,878$33,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,034.35 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4f…9bb0backed Yes | 7c | 354,130$23,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,726.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 7c | 352,279$23,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,887.13 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 10c | 345,656$34,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,240.74 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 9c | 321,638$28,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,225.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 3c | 319,449$9,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,434.35 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 7c | 316,074$22,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,644.28 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed Yes | 9c | 313,862$29,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,738.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 8c | 300,000$24,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,897.34 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…bbcabacked Yes | 8c | 296,649$22,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,793.44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 293,844$29,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,570.16 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 8c | 292,351$22,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,163 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 8c | 282,729$22,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,957.43 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…bc23backed Yes | 7c | 272,866$19,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,691.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes | 6c | 264,397$15,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,707.7 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bc8abacked Yes | 10c | 261,751$26,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 7c | 254,912$18,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,352.98 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes | 7c | 253,632$17,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,229.2 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Yes | 6c | 253,582$16,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,231.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…466cbacked Yes | 7c | 250,000$17,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,750 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 10c | 242,121$23,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,374.51 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…5e02backed Yes | 6c | 240,510$14,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,775.55 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7a02backed Yes | 8c | 238,211$19,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,447.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…c8ddbacked Yes | 6c | 233,874$14,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,728.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 10c | 231,000$23,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,142.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…44f6backed Yes | 8c | 229,896$18,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,983.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…ee63backed Yes | 9c | 227,549$21,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,171.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +196.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03f…768bbacked Yes | 1c | 225,471$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.88 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…515fbacked Yes | 6c | 224,720$13,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,196.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…81a1backed Yes | 7c | 222,025$15,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,863.02 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes | 7c | 221,292$14,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,826.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 8c | 220,000$18,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,329.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…fbd6backed Yes | 7c | 216,279$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 6c | 214,322$12,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,273.36 | 43 | 4.7%2 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -77%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…b019backed Yes | 9c | 208,042$19,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,062.3 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…d177backed Yes | 8c | 200,035$16,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,190.36 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 10c | 200,000$20,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,598.97 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e013backed Yes | 12c | 199,963$23,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,350.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 199,485$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.56 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…c64bbacked Yes | 8c | 198,249$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…8983backed Yes | 9c | 190,976$16,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,855.15 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…9491backed Yes | 7c | 189,045$13,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,776.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…8b94backed Yes | 6c | 187,767$10,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,769.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 11c | 184,370$19,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,489.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 7c | 177,984$11,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,669.72 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…3ae5backed Yes | 10c | 177,826$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…dac5backed Yes | 6c | 175,433$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…bce3backed Yes | 11c | 172,750$18,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,178 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…3d5abacked Yes | 9c | 171,740$15,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,792.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…3dc3backed Yes | 9c | 171,055$15,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,790.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 6c | 169,751$10,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,932.4 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 7c | 164,987$11,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,356.51 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 9c | 163,132$14,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,604.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…4335backed Yes | 7c | 162,438$11,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,762.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Yes | 6c | 161,049$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 7c | 160,088$10,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,966.83 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 8c | 159,660$12,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,285.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…271fbacked Yes | 6c | 159,337$9,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,544.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 9c | 157,409$14,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,595.48 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7e…eec4backed Yes | 6c | 156,645$9,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,616.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…5dc4backed Yes | 6c | 155,485$9,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,301.35 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…d3e4backed Yes | 7c | 154,932$11,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,364.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…328abacked Yes | 10c | 150,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 8c | 148,000$11,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,833.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Yes | 9c | 147,500$13,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,523 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 7c | 147,026$10,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,745.44 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 10c | 143,786$14,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,770.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…7a88backed Yes | 10c | 141,599$14,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,584.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0438backed Yes | 7c | 141,251$10,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,593.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…d9dabacked Yes | 6c | 139,821$8,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,578.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.