Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf7780f9059e34b84301fd411f8dc573b4d56adfe6e0cda33daf304b1438da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,888,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,225,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,888,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,618,219$103,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,855.98 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 0c | 4,750,094$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,200.47 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 1c | 4,699,294$28,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,029.81 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 4,455,537$9,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,501.27 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 1c | 3,601,113$21,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,100.45 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 2,750,000$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.13 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 0c | 2,266,872$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.44 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Yes | 0c | 2,258,888$9,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,917.78 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed Yes | 1c | 2,229,352$15,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,251.92 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 2,084,772$5,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.25 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 0c | 1,788,114$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,891.65 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 0c | 1,600,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 1c | 1,557,147$13,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,162.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 1c | 1,371,722$9,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,602.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 1c | 1,200,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…8001backed Yes | 1c | 1,111,111$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 1c | 992,321$8,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,111.95 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes | 0c | 912,559$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.56 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 1c | 880,633$6,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620.68 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 0c | 700,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…136ebacked Yes | 1c | 621,707$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Yes | 1c | 620,587$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 601,502$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.11 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…628fbacked Yes | 1c | 555,556$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked Yes | 1c | 541,111$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Yes | 1c | 507,788$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.44 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 1c | 499,976$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.79 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 1c | 450,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…b428backed Yes | 1c | 450,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Yes | 1c | 440,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 1c | 437,416$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 1c | 435,005$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 1c | 430,141$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 1c | 416,667$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 405,158$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.11 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 1c | 351,209$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.87 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 1c | 350,050$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.05 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 1c | 333,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 1c | 321,209$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.67 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 312,220$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.87 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…15f9backed Yes | 1c | 294,435$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.56 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…9eb9backed Yes | 1c | 278,269$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…17a8backed Yes | 1c | 264,801$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.21 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 1c | 250,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 1c | 250,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 1c | 250,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…5174backed Yes | 1c | 250,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 1c | 241,773$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.06 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…57c7backed Yes | 1c | 241,111$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 1c | 225,000$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 0c | 222,222$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…b956backed Yes | 1c | 212,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 1c | 204,818$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.52 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…0b79backed Yes | 1c | 203,250$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 0c | 203,000$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked Yes | 0c | 197,595$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.89 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…68d2backed Yes | 1c | 197,535$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.28 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 1c | 194,022$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.11 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 1c | 190,134$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.07 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Yes | 1c | 188,000$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked Yes | 0c | 170,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 169,999$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a5…137dbacked Yes | 1c | 166,700$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 1c | 157,255$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…fe1fbacked Yes | 1c | 152,554$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.81 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 1c | 152,493$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.87 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 1c | 150,100$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.1 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Yes | 1c | 150,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…1ce7backed Yes | 1c | 148,385$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37f…b107backed Yes | 1c | 144,444$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…f754backed Yes | 1c | 138,156$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.25 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…e423backed Yes | 1c | 133,713$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…87e4backed Yes | 1c | 133,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 0c | 132,971$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 1c | 132,645$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 131,424$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…7104backed Yes | 1c | 129,927$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.34 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…1d5fbacked Yes | 1c | 127,902$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes | 1c | 127,706$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.73 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 1c | 127,056$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…f806backed Yes | 1c | 126,053$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 1c | 125,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…73ddbacked Yes | 1c | 125,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…77bdbacked Yes | 1c | 125,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c1…7d6fbacked Yes | 1c | 124,777$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…8356backed Yes | 1c | 120,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…3d9abacked Yes | 1c | 116,556$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…a1fabacked Yes | 1c | 112,069$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…71e1backed Yes | 1c | 111,468$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…07c9backed Yes | 1c | 111,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…bbcabacked Yes | 1c | 111,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…9176backed Yes | 1c | 111,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…dd88backed Yes | 1c | 111,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…a21dbacked Yes | 1c | 111,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…7f18backed Yes | 1c | 111,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Yes | 1c | 107,500$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Yes | 1c | 107,162$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…54dbbacked Yes | 1c | 106,885$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.97 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…8f38backed Yes | 0c | 103,000$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.