Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233ce0c3969a5cd5079287f16fcd283be7c1db82263e08697f85dbe1b4d2113c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,577,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,872,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,577,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 5,000,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 0c | 3,291,842$6,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.68 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 0c | 2,492,994$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.99 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 0c | 1,700,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…15f9backed Yes | 0c | 760,717$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.34 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 743,215$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.21 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 720,138$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 0c | 601,110$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.22 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…f16bbacked Yes | 0c | 600,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…fb37backed Yes | 0c | 540,289$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.29 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…1dddbacked Yes | 0c | 529,000$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 520,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634e…e27bbacked Yes | 0c | 425,838$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…88e8backed Yes | 0c | 425,838$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8497…8321backed Yes | 0c | 425,109$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da2…d9cdbacked Yes | 0c | 410,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 0c | 381,626$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.43 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 327,250$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 0c | 323,000$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 0c | 316,500$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…7606backed Yes | 0c | 311,282$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 299,998$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Yes | 0c | 290,869$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…dae0backed Yes | 0c | 283,386$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…7d21backed Yes | 0c | 282,844$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…27cebacked Yes | 0c | 282,792$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7696…0160backed Yes | 0c | 282,770$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…5e60backed Yes | 0c | 282,750$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f18…9774backed Yes | 0c | 282,714$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…c75bbacked Yes | 0c | 282,704$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…bbd0backed Yes | 0c | 282,696$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…4594backed Yes | 0c | 282,470$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…cfb4backed Yes | 0c | 281,663$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…89a6backed Yes | 0c | 281,663$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ba…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 281,663$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…2c13backed Yes | 0c | 281,515$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…383cbacked Yes | 0c | 281,484$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 0c | 279,999$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…35e2backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 249,999$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…4bd9backed Yes | 0c | 249,818$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 248,402$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.06 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…6b20backed Yes | 0c | 241,840$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 225,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 0c | 221,016$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.03 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c7…1d56backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…476cbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 199,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…d839backed Yes | 0c | 193,150$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…71c8backed Yes | 0c | 168,903$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…f0cdbacked Yes | 0c | 150,309$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…9764backed Yes | 0c | 147,396$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…a2abbacked Yes | 0c | 145,229$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…6d8fbacked Yes | 0c | 143,987$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c69…8ce2backed Yes | 0c | 140,505$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed76…44cfbacked Yes | 0c | 135,205$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes | 0c | 133,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad66backed Yes | 0c | 123,915$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 0c | 123,456$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…1bbfbacked Yes | 0c | 123,046$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…c944backed Yes | 0c | 117,116$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…e61fbacked Yes | 0c | 117,115$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…93e2backed Yes | 0c | 114,824$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 0c | 114,520$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa86e…b9e1backed Yes | 0c | 108,884$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…576abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…3cbbbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…1d43backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…6734backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…5965backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…ce87backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…9ce0backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 0c | 99,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…4587backed Yes | 0c | 84,958$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…7f3ebacked Yes | 0c | 82,322$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…e12dbacked Yes | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 0c | 77,492$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…7f4abacked Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…23b8backed Yes | 0c | 67,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…e968backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 61,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…3994backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b3…6904backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…b7babacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…b2b3backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 59,688$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…4e26backed Yes | 0c | 51,484$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…6371backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.