TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,470,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,054,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,470,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes0c4,999,984$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.98306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c2,500,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c1,631,149$4,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.452015%3 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-74.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes0c1,525,547$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.09395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes0c1,211,144$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.139723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f8…bce6backed Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c719,341$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.639819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c699,998$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c499,626$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.25260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c475,222$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.2232629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c424,236$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.24740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c327,941$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.011705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes0c300,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c195,150$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.37352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c180,751$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.41210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c177,394$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.39120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c125,248$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.25110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes0c110,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011217%19 W · 93 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Yes0c110,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c102,081$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.08355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a57…9299backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c100,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5be…06ccbacked Yes0c96,600$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Yes0c90,667$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb7…f8ebbacked Yes0c84,080$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c80,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c78,000$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c75,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c66,582$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.58147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c57,004$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.02392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7da…3a1ebacked Yes0c57,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Yes0c55,820$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.825621.4%12 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c52,813$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c52,097$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.41,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2855…6371backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Yes0c50,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…bdffbacked Yes0c49,901$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3e…7cd1backed Yes0c41,333$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f7f…f514backed Yes0c40,351$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-72.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409815.3%15 W · 83 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…40aabacked Yes0c40,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes0c40,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014738.1%56 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c40,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes0c35,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…c0f4backed Yes0c34,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34180%0 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a3…f185backed Yes0c31,395$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.79130%0 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d07…d953backed Yes0c29,980$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2991…f125backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50400%0 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511025.5%28 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e3…c282backed Yes0c23,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0adc…c214backed Yes0c22,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39bc…4a6dbacked Yes0c22,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a2…203cbacked Yes0c21,667$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ae…4b60backed Yes0c20,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-72.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f1…1093backed Yes0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-78.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebaa…abacbacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ec…645ebacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c7…2091backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20380%0 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155f…660ebacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d41…2dfabacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…c7a6backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb45…c710backed Yes0c20,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe424…59c8backed Yes0c19,914$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes0c19,800$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-89.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b43…9149backed Yes0c19,500$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Yes0c19,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5593.4%2 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes0c19,230$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.231565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2566…5953backed Yes0c18,204$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.290%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…a1c6backed Yes0c16,740$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2260%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes0c16,666$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.66270%0 W · 27 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc18…bde0backed Yes0c15,968$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes0c15,470$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.471612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x749e…87a9backed Yes0c15,188$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297e…eb24backed Yes0c15,088$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad0…2355backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6c…be8cbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…ae7cbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15452.2%1 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-85%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes0c12,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-68%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ad…54c9backed Yes0c12,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c12,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610727.1%29 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…10e8backed Yes0c11,995$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.98616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c11,400$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.24717%8 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc6…7ce4backed Yes0c11,203$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick8cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc586…6b1ebacked Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114512.4%18 W · 127 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c11,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf8b…f02fbacked Yes0c10,400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd962…8e0fbacked Yes0c10,313$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.