TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d58…cfcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
773
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Commodities, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 63 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT18040.6%73 W · 107 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$64.2
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.15
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+248.8%+$42.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.7
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$20.47
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.29
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$31.1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$64.12
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$89
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$66.01
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT15338.6%59 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by September 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.43
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$28.4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+291%+$276.43
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.23
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$58.4
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.37
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$584.51
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$49.27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.67
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$876.89
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.62
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT14738.1%56 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+365.9%+$204.2
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,866Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+512.2%+$19,803.94
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+2,959.1%+$1,185.58
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.56
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.6
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$30.15
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,848.21
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+304%+$150.5
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,908.8
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.25
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT8728.7%25 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$574.6
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.01
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Prague 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.3
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104%+$168.19
Cancun: Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.49
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$225
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Casper Ruud Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT5959.3%35 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Commodities — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$79.5
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$180.56
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$67.69
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+744.8%+$245.01
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.42
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75%+$149.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$116
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+146%+$1,187
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$1,198.81
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.76
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$53.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+157.8%+$160.28
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$25.35
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$254.89
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.74
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$664
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,220
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.8
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$81.56
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.87
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.32
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$245.31
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$105.4
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+237.5%+$1,003.36
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$533.67
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+500.2%+$3,000.19
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.42
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$544
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.25
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.79
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,079Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$2,878.98
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$114.65
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$95.67
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$414
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$370
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$461.34
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.26
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$128.54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$120.6
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.79
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.98
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.71
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.99
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$189.12
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+370.7%+$224.42
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$60.59
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$20.87
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$64.92
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$126.82
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.89
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-61.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.15
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$91.99
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.9
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+222.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,681Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$8,424.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.