Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe694b9d67a28d66b3e0abbbc4c310e8d86533cde4f48bba31634cd62315a7579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e9…0741backed No | 42c | 52,605$22,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,353.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 63c | 33,038$20,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,237.78 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 54c | 20,870$11,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,631.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 48c | 10,500$5,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090.58 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 43c | 9,756$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.69 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 64c | 8,000$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.81 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 45c | 7,329$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 65c | 7,168$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.93 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 12c | 6,975$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.6 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 76c | 6,870$5,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,255 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 51c | 5,913$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.33 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 72c | 2,829$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.52 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 39c | 2,811$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.67 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Yes | 50c | 2,663$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.59 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d21…e10cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,394$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +369.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed No | 59c | 1,107$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.42 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 30c | 1,096$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 13c | 991.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 62c | 969.55$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 941.91$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked Yes | 79c | 856.23$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 58c | 837.04$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.23 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 44c | 820.35$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.35 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.93 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…0f2bbacked Yes | 57c | 793.71$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657b…2094backed Yes | 62c | 781.78$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 43c | 780$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 22c | 750$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed Yes | 61c | 737.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.06 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1336…7b1ebacked No | 57c | 637.88$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0de…960bbacked Yes | 63c | 609.89$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 63c | 609.24$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.1 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 43c | 551.59$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.85 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 30c | 545.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.81 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 42c | 541.73$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…96a7backed No | 32c | 531.02$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…4d33backed Yes | 47c | 500$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 61c | 449.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…af36backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 39c | 421.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 417.11$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.05 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 400$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4955…2c95backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed No | 67c | 400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…9713backed Yes | 73c | 377.9$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…e4b7backed No | 34c | 372.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked No | 33c | 330.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…b22fbacked Yes | 63c | 326.22$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked No | 41c | 302.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…41d2backed No | 55c | 274.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…740bbacked No | 40c | 266.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 42c | 250$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 24c | 246.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…23f9backed Yes | 43c | 229.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed No | 53c | 221.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked No | 11c | 218.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9backed No | 57c | 213.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 62c | 210$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 22c | 210$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 45c | 210$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…e27fbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…a301backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +13.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…9215backed Yes | 39c | 189.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 36c | 175$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…6efbbacked Yes | 27c | 173.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 56c | 172.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1d6abacked Yes | 18c | 163.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…d5a7backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…7765backed No | 47c | 159.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 65c | 153.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…7fe3backed No | 47c | 150.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 147.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…abecbacked Yes | 67c | 136$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes | 49c | 132.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 51c | 130.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 69c | 128.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…7976backed No | 61c | 123.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 38c | 117.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 64c | 115.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…57b8backed Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 27c | 109.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…bfecbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…2fe2backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed No | 50c | 95.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed No | 42c | 89.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed No | 47c | 83.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…20d1backed No | 62c | 80.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.