TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc52a…41d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32%+$9.6
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.94
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$10.4
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$13.68
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$32.06
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$310.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$64.97
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.51
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.95
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.49
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+235.1%+$25.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.05
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$27.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.