Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55bc6fae95dd0901c563429bed93e65595312e4bd08aa4eb6f2fc1bdfda0ffe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,006,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,065,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,006,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 64c | 165,658$106,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,636.72 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 139,250$97,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,150.59 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 35c | 117,331$40,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,803.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 64c | 82,670$53,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,587.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 76,010$23,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,228.64 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 0c | 73,275$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 35c | 60,746$21,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,312.11 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 34c | 54,497$18,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,752.68 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 53,036$18,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,837.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 47,856$28,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,051.85 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 36c | 43,589$15,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,691.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 39,448$13,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,883.67 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 36c | 39,296$14,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,151.67 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 68c | 31,229$21,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,046.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…571cbacked No | 0c | 28,020$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 30c | 26,664$8,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,121.38 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 26,269$8,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,792.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 32c | 25,629$8,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,201.53 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 44c | 23,297$10,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,366.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 32c | 23,166$7,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,413 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 23,106$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,974.92 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 64c | 21,874$13,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.7 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 21,254$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,478.62 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 21,166$6,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,561.53 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 36c | 19,525$7,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,028.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed No | 31c | 17,596$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,454.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 36c | 16,926$6,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,093.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 64c | 16,792$10,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 16,591$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,665.13 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 70c | 16,541$11,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 16,263$8,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,904.45 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 16,146$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,585.05 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 15,960$5,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.11 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 55c | 15,566$8,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,004.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 36c | 14,880$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,404.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 36c | 14,040$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 69c | 14,000$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 33c | 13,421$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.93 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 36c | 12,790$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 30c | 12,500$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.91 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…65d8backed No | 36c | 12,481$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 32c | 12,163$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,329.91 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 29c | 12,046$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 31c | 12,010$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.08 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…11cabacked No | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 63c | 12,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.94 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed No | 74c | 10,791$7,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,991.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 43c | 10,667$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.06 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…f046backed Yes | 62c | 10,434$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 77c | 10,390$8,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.2 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 31c | 10,357$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701d…57f9backed Yes | 69c | 10,210$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 10,021$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,813.45 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed No | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 65c | 8,826$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.55 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 31c | 8,824$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.67 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 36c | 7,900$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 39c | 7,645$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 32c | 7,556$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Yes | 4c | 7,368$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +326.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 31c | 6,603$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 36c | 6,240$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked No | 36c | 6,200$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 37c | 6,176$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Yes | 68c | 5,880$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 32c | 5,800$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 62c | 5,530$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 31c | 5,273$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.66 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Yes | 70c | 5,118$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,857$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.66 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,850$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 62c | 4,836$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 30c | 4,810$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 30c | 4,719$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 41c | 4,598$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed No | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 56c | 4,492$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 36c | 4,396$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 31c | 3,965$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2c58backed Yes | 69c | 3,775$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 3,753$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.49 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 65c | 3,674$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.63 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,627$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 31c | 3,623$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 3,500$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No | 45c | 3,456$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 61c | 3,391$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 66c | 3,321$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.02 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 69c | 3,209$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.7 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 36c | 3,157$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e3…23bfbacked No | 2c | 3,072$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.