Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8a0b3d5fad1ef68bdcf0c7bd73112ecb9132423267c88a594fb91b12a83fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 36,801$8,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,521.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 18c | 23,883$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.9 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 17c | 12,188$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 6,598$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 6,441$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 5,966$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.61 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 59c | 4,819$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.17 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 69c | 4,360$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.39 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 3,901$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.15 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked No | 25c | 3,500$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 61c | 3,275$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.94 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 34c | 3,099$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,797$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.23 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 19c | 2,581$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.38 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 14c | 2,541$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.77 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 52c | 2,336$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.28 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 13c | 2,213$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.82 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 62c | 1,742$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.85 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 15c | 1,515$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 41c | 1,470$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 56c | 1,441$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.91 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 18c | 1,300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.91 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 15c | 1,126$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,046$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 1,043$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 18c | 1,043$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 44c | 1,040$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 55c | 1,002$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 46c | 799.88$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.81 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 14c | 740.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 77c | 724.38$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 14c | 714.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 56c | 711$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 26c | 682.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.25 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Yes | 19c | 674.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90f…8296backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 32c | 625.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…49aabacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…d622backed Yes | 69c | 539.16$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 19c | 522.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Yes | 43c | 469.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 13c | 428.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 71c | 425.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 419.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Yes | 13c | 410.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked No | 55c | 364.56$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 11c | 363$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 75c | 361.04$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed No | 25c | 361.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 14c | 324.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 58c | 320$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…6622backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…88cbbacked Yes | 78c | 294.13$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 55c | 287.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked No | 72c | 277.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 31c | 277.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 72c | 276.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…8fa1backed Yes | 43c | 269.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…e36cbacked No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Yes | 11c | 265$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked No | 57c | 263.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked No | 59c | 252.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 59c | 250.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 62c | 248.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…cc67backed Yes | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 75c | 223.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…719bbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 221.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes | 15c | 216$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…aba2backed Yes | 15c | 206.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed No | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 57c | 205.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed No | 26c | 203.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 20c | 202.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…309ebacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…4b40backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…d1c2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.