TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe93…3638

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT4847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.8
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.14
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$135.56
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$588.11
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.34
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.07
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.4
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.35
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$148.08
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.55
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$22.74
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.28
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.64
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.32
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$384
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.94
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$626
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$437.27
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$82.55
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$372.22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$360.15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+226.1%+$1,446.96
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,159.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$192.32
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$7.92
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$14.86
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$31.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$9.87
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$77.65
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$20.25
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$22.96
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$564.98
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+128%+$84.21
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.69
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.74
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.63
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.88
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$20.98
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+98%+$49.5
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.76
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.32
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$185.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$982
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$128.02
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Brendson Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.2
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Manolo Zecchini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Delano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,890
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$245.95
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.48
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$744.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$604.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$129
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.