MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a9a9ece08dbd4a97aafa1d1943323d960ac1dd2f2ed69e288fba98d64543c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 110,000$41,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,199.98 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 70,538$26,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,733.25 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 39,301$27,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,223.13 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 34,740$15,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,063.24 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 33,237$17,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,823.85 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 30,861$19,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,363.46 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 29,222$18,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,117.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 27,157$16,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,837.58 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 26,238$16,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,267.78 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 20,425$16,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.95 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 19,517$8,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,178.98 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 18,981$12,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,958.91 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 31c | 17,077$5,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.35 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 17,041$10,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,580.46 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 16,284$11,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,150.14 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 16,000$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,079.78 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 14,988$9,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,442.44 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 13,070$8,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,151.66 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 12,597$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,385.74 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 12,037$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,446.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 11,715$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.26 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 11,713$7,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,261.81 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 11,053$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,852.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 9,395$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.85 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 9,388$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 7,992$5,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 6,781$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.83 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 6,427$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 6,350$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 4,284$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.08 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,392$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 3,343$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.97 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 3,182$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 2,812$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.27 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,049$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,978$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.36 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 1,873$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.58 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,655$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 1,580$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,305$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.09 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,256$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.72 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,204$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.47 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,035$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,030$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.82 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 995.99$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.47 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 989.18$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 970.1$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.25 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 953.53$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 910.37$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 800.21$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.18 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…382dbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 799.96$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 797.67$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 791.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.23 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 789.81$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 761.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 757.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.53 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 748.72$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 744.72$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…b225backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 738.26$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 729.57$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 700$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8400backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 634.27$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 623.05$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.91 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 590.8$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.28 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 583.49$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 581$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.33 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 550$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 543.76$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 528.58$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 484$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 467.41$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…249cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 461.58$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 461.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 449.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 399.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.31 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 396.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…ed6dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 389.47$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 37cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 378.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.22 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 377.73$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…df5dbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 375.09$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.