TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cleveland Guardiansof Seattle Mariners, Cleveland Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Cleveland Guardians58c16,792$9,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,068.1626056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Seattle Mariners42c11,905$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Seattle Mariners42c7,820$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.48633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cleveland Guardians58c3,282$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.3146547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians77c1,562$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.859,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians57c1,426$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.035,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners12c1,328$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians58c1,300$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Seattle Mariners29c1,200$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3499021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Seattle Mariners43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Seattle Mariners43c1,070$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Cleveland Guardians57c1,001$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.481,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Seattle Mariners43c972$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.9611454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians58c699.98$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9985952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Mariners36c620.32$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.321,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cleveland Guardians73c464.21$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7715550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Seattle Mariners43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1726749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Seattle Mariners35c323$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.877256.9%41 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Seattle Mariners35c310.4$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5610747.7%51 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians63c299.93$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9765050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians56c273.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.241,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Seattle Mariners8c230.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.425841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed Seattle Mariners7c205.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Seattle Mariners44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Cleveland Guardians59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4932350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cleveland Guardians58c165.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.441,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5966551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7704…9640backed Cleveland Guardians58c131.21$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.112263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Seattle Mariners42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.456440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Cleveland Guardians59c115.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2513351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Mariners42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4260350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Seattle Mariners43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8234145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Cleveland Guardians58c99.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9922851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Seattle Mariners43c93.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf599…aa6fbacked Seattle Mariners22c90.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cleveland Guardians58c82.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.532348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed Seattle Mariners42c74.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Cleveland Guardians58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.261250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Seattle Mariners42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.213534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Seattle Mariners42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Seattle Mariners42c59.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9914442.4%61 W · 83 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Seattle Mariners43c59.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4618048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians71c59.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.316,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Seattle Mariners42c56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5284049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Cleveland Guardians59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8546659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Cleveland Guardians59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb402…42cebacked Seattle Mariners42c49.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Seattle Mariners42c43.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3714444.4%64 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Cleveland Guardians58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.150949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Seattle Mariners42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85726.3%15 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+221.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e46…38e4backed Cleveland Guardians59c39.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbdd…9ba3backed Cleveland Guardians59c39.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked Seattle Mariners42c39.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Cleveland Guardians59c38.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.682166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians73c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.264,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Cleveland Guardians59c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7647848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…b570backed Cleveland Guardians59c35.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd13…62fbbacked Seattle Mariners42c35.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.973145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cleveland Guardians65c35.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.248247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf3…9a4dbacked Cleveland Guardians58c34.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Cleveland Guardians58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4833051.8%171 W · 159 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a9…dbc4backed Cleveland Guardians58c34.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc3…ae94backed Cleveland Guardians59c34.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Seattle Mariners40c33.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4226845.9%123 W · 145 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Mariners42c31.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Cleveland Guardians58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Seattle Mariners42c28.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9710539%41 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeadd…4da1backed Seattle Mariners42c28.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Cleveland Guardians58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.922850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…b472backed Cleveland Guardians58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7f…6767backed Cleveland Guardians59c25.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Cleveland Guardians60c25.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.083036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Cleveland Guardians58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.515848.1%76 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Cleveland Guardians58c24.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2416155.9%90 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Cleveland Guardians59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7389950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5065…36ecbacked Cleveland Guardians59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Cleveland Guardians51c23.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5654715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Seattle Mariners44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1276752.3%401 W · 366 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a1…d929backed Seattle Mariners54c22.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.341060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Cleveland Guardians58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.410354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.