TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6332…5a1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Boxing, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,017.62
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$856.9
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$959.02
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$168.52
Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.09
Will AJ Barner win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,716Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.9%+$3,367.16
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40.82
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,557.49
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$275
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$188.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$767.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$380.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.