NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0c0580278b2821582db0db63af52e5beaf663484dc7a6af75b26a0786d6d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,709,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,928,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,709,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 724 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans | 46c | 175,076$81,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,003.85 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 107,572$65,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,635.72 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 85,175$39,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,204.93 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pelicans | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 14c | 35,123$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.28 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Timberwolves | 78c | 32,067$25,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,055.67 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Pelicans | 22c | 30,653$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850.16 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans | 15c | 30,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 18c | 25,932$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Pelicans | 43c | 23,469$10,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,192.48 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans | 43c | 22,879$9,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.26 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Timberwolves | 45c | 22,393$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,395.14 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Timberwolves | 40c | 20,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,050.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pelicans | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.98 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans | 46c | 18,692$8,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,657.42 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…5a9ebacked Pelicans | 16c | 17,385$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Timberwolves | 59c | 17,000$10,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.99 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…296abacked Timberwolves | 74c | 16,807$12,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.71 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 35c | 16,212$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.8 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves | 59c | 14,814$8,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.66 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Pelicans | 21c | 14,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Pelicans | 19c | 13,359$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.18 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Pelicans | 16c | 13,000$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.34 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 12,605$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,929.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 12,364$9,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.78 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 11,704$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,709.01 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 44c | 10,646$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.49 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Pelicans | 19c | 10,526$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.93 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pelicans | 19c | 10,148$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.59 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Timberwolves | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Pelicans | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Timberwolves | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Pelicans | 35c | 8,930$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.52 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Pelicans | 20c | 8,831$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pelicans | 14c | 8,571$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.21 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 7,814$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.69 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pelicans | 37c | 7,142$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.91 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…89d0backed Pelicans | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pelicans | 52c | 6,835$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.59 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pelicans | 18c | 6,570$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.32 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 67c | 6,024$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 17c | 5,997$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.54 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Pelicans | 59c | 5,403$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.64 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Pelicans | 17c | 5,000$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.33 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed Pelicans | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Pelicans | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Pelicans | 22c | 4,712$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.64 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 29c | 4,702$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans | 51c | 4,652$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.14 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans | 16c | 4,565$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.2 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed Pelicans | 43c | 4,150$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Timberwolves | 63c | 4,012$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.21 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Timberwolves | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,934$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.2 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 3,917$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.22 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 77c | 3,786$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.69 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pelicans | 12c | 3,618$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.81 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Pelicans | 56c | 3,575$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 140 | 25%35 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pelicans | 37c | 3,472$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.06 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Pelicans | 32c | 3,457$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.13 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pelicans | 47c | 3,386$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.84 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaba…19b7backed Pelicans | 20c | 3,275$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 59c | 3,256$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.75 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 3,044$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Timberwolves | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Timberwolves | 71c | 2,985$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.49 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 24c | 2,940$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans | 1c | 2,850$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 19c | 2,824$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.8 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Timberwolves | 80c | 2,625$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.7 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 69c | 2,519$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.8 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…4009backed Timberwolves | 80c | 2,505$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Timberwolves | 75c | 2,244$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.19 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,242$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.99 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pelicans | 18c | 2,219$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.52 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Timberwolves | 79c | 2,200$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,176$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.15 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Pelicans | 42c | 2,148$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,097$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.29 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans | 27c | 2,073$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.08 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…042dbacked Pelicans | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Pelicans | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…8c1bbacked Pelicans | 20c | 1,980$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…8971backed Pelicans | 26c | 1,955$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,953$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.08 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,834$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.08 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Pelicans | 56c | 1,809$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2e6cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,804$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.92 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Pelicans | 20c | 1,732$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…bc12backed Pelicans | 22c | 1,726$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Pelicans | 21c | 1,600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pelicans | 32c | 1,600$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 1,594$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.73 | 271 | 52%141 W · 130 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,590$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.05 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicansthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.