TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e5c…c9ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$79.03
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300.89
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$49.92
Omaha Mavericks vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$332.07
Longwood Lancers vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+34.3%+$6.84
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$399.99
Toledo Rockets vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+65.7%+$255.39
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Delaware State Hornetsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.33
UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,256.26
Texas State Bobcats vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37%+$342.77
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+84.2%+$841.52
Northeastern Huskies vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+106%+$1,116.33
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+47.7%+$1,032.38
Missouri Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,077.41
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$525.27
California Baptist Lancers vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+40.2%+$201.04
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$792.63
Wagner Seahawks vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040.69
Brown Bears vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+41.5%+$603.11
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$435.29
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+65.9%+$407.53
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$340
USC Trojans vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$370.53
Ohio Bobcats vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+55.6%+$236.29
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$159
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST2075%15 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$376.21
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$547.44
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$414.37
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,167.25
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,163.64
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,711Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$842.67
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,869Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.6%+$628.58
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25.9%+$388.79
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$701
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+37%+$195.48
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$516.26
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$231.33
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,664Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+33.2%+$552.44
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+54.2%+$582.41
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.5%+$628.95
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+45%+$310.69
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+47.7%+$225.34
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$242.87
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$235.56
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+150%+$366.78
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,854Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$757.33
Georgia vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,683Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$670.83
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37%+$725.22
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$201.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,635.58
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53%+$878.61
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+100.7%+$300.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+47.3%+$140.98
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+48.6%+$134.88
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$443.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$442.76
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$417.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,917.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.