Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a08897a026a98634501d9e88659f302dbc4c10dac471f02d7e9c774d0ff8152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,765,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,724,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,765,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 58c | 200,000$115,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,930.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 69c | 145,709$100,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,567.99 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 31c | 139,633$43,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,353.97 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 31c | 102,499$31,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,724.1 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 42c | 95,958$40,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,865.19 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 89,746$28,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,147.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 31c | 84,175$26,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,080.75 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 30c | 79,532$23,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,672.63 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 69c | 79,337$54,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,742.76 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 59c | 73,395$43,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,228.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 37c | 72,132$26,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,277.53 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 42c | 55,555$23,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,333.01 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 67c | 52,554$35,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,291.53 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3411backed Yes | 69c | 51,045$35,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,374.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 32c | 50,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,999.99 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 70c | 48,115$33,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,680.82 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 42c | 45,731$19,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,551.59 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 34c | 42,311$14,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,925.01 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 30c | 37,888$11,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,521.35 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 68c | 35,000$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,800 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 31,699$21,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,895.28 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 32c | 31,271$10,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,264.59 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 42c | 30,088$12,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,451.97 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Yes | 69c | 30,077$20,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,752.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 29,648$16,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,743.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Yes | 25c | 26,669$6,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,781.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 31c | 19,905$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,734.34 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 42c | 18,207$7,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,559.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…4950backed Yes | 70c | 17,138$11,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,968.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 39c | 16,972$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,435.37 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 59c | 16,936$9,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,992.18 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 16,797$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,440.18 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 32c | 15,702$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,722.31 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 30c | 15,598$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,971.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 30c | 14,443$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,110.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 31c | 13,050$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,004.5 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 69c | 11,964$8,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,255.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 71c | 10,927$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 8,079$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.41 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 31c | 7,847$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 68c | 7,159$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.18 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 31c | 7,109$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.26 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 43c | 7,066$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.66 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 66c | 5,599$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.06 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.82 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 31c | 4,933$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.76 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 32c | 4,691$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.97 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 32c | 4,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 31c | 3,709$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.35 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 31c | 3,666$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Yes | 70c | 3,657$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 69c | 3,597$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 3,500$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 69c | 3,481$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 26c | 3,474$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.8 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 3,362$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.6 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 58c | 3,228$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.22 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.06 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 30c | 3,000$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 2,879$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.69 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 2,762$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.47 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 68c | 2,586$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.85 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 41c | 2,581$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Yes | 68c | 2,500$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 61c | 2,493$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.79 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 68c | 2,456$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.81 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 31c | 2,408$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.69 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 67c | 2,348$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.04 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,332$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.88 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 34c | 2,242$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.92 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 65c | 2,159$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 59c | 2,135$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 31c | 2,100$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.98 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 41c | 2,077$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 32c | 2,073$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.37 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…aca8backed Yes | 74c | 1,969$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 66c | 1,948$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.53 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 31c | 1,946$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.56 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 67c | 1,857$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.66 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 31c | 1,733$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.48 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 32c | 1,700$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.93 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 61c | 1,657$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 69c | 1,610$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…122ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,594$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…f7febacked Yes | 63c | 1,576$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de4…372abacked Yes | 59c | 1,537$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.