TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa22b…3525

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+870.8%+$1,393.28
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+587.4%+$11,748.93
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.4%+$8,270.85
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,729Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+133.4%+$12,983.05
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,999.56
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$813.68
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$742.19
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$507.28
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$492.15
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$5,199
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,264.61
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,734.46
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+1,090.5%+$916
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,070.89
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$949.65
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+309.8%+$1,546.9
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+143.7%+$907.05
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,652.84
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$14,083.13
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,930Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+101.2%+$8,028.27
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.89
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.71
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.37
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$277.7
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.58
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.89
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.11
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,792.41
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,278.56
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.94
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.85
LoL: Joblife vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.37
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,972.71
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.96
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,742.61
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,366.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,054.41
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$9,000
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+151%+$5,378.43
LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.07
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,666
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,040.74
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-61.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,941.14
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.12
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,315.31
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$678.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.52
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$826.48
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.23
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$6,311.22
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,902.94
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,779.79
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,720.15
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$601.04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$2,944.83
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,549.49
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,272.54
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,402
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933.46
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacksbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,997.31
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,996.23
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,989.6
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$8,513.51
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensikbacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,019.76
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,542.6
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,723.31
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,555.8
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+79%+$6,317.28
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$7,714.49
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Palermo: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Amarissa Kiara Toth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$1,605.59
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Palermo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Deborah Chiesabacked Yasmine Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,781Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$5,227.11
Livesport Prague Open: Ayla Aksu vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Ayla Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$8,854.43
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,015.15
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,776.89
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,509.05
Granby: Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.51
HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,589.97
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galanbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,261.51
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.46
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$29.06
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.14
Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.1
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$888.87
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$312
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$391.58
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$210.33
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,094.59
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$10,747.34
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.96
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,965Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$4,521.47
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+233.4%+$570.18
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs X-CAST - Map 1 Winnerbacked X-CAST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.75
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,792.94
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,127.28
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$2,204.62
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,776.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Dbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.72
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$696.65
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$1,044.92
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,783.6
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,869.38
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10,200.1
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9,799.96
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,466.53
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$975.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.41
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,416.67
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$621.45
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,983Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$10,390.47
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,859.37
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+148.6%+$7,428.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$455.98
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.01
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$335.56
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,984Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+209.6%+$6,254.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,709Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$2,629.32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$515.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$39.15
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.47
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,594.82
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,735.91
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$6,079.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,951.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.5
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13,543.66
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,019.54
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,600
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,087.01
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,044
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$8,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$8,402.6
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$5,284.89
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+110%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+127.3%+$3,052.47
Texas A&M vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,867Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+112.8%+$3,233.14
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+300%+$2,735.31
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$1,740
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scotland vs. Brazil: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,122.97
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,544.27
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,542.1
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$798.07
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,100
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,116.13
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$669.04
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+264.2%+$1,321.07
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.5
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+267.8%+$8,686.75
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,335.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$851.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,888
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.