NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8db359bce0d66d5126150bfa1b3027064eb66fe413468a092142ef9433a459f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Heat, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Heat | 1c | 22,700$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Clippers | 79c | 20,104$15,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.6 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers | 64c | 8,372$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.71 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Clippers | 71c | 8,147$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.67 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Heat | 25c | 8,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Clippers | 75c | 7,289$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.41 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Heat | 12c | 7,000$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.89 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 31c | 6,481$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.52 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Heat | 24c | 6,388$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.14 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Heat | 31c | 6,000$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.11 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Heat | 7c | 5,923$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.38 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Clippers | 76c | 5,265$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.5 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 30c | 5,057$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.23 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Clippers | 75c | 5,000$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.84 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 37c | 4,742$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.4 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Heat | 25c | 4,240$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Clippers | 62c | 4,203$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.45 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Clippers | 73c | 3,735$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.44 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Clippers | 62c | 3,597$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.89 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 71c | 3,525$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Heat | 19c | 3,302$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.58 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Clippers | 68c | 3,154$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.93 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Heat | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Clippers | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 1c | 3,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Heat | 42c | 2,733$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.6 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Heat | 40c | 2,506$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 77c | 2,433$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.14 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Heat | 19c | 2,147$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.88 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Heat | 45c | 2,117$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers | 72c | 2,107$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.01 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Clippers | 61c | 2,064$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.8 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Clippers | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 39c | 1,835$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Clippers | 72c | 1,772$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.27 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 68cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 1,714$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…7829backed Clippers | 68c | 1,646$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Clippers | 57c | 1,636$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.46 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Clippers | 75c | 1,567$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.75 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Heat | 36c | 1,517$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.52 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…356ebacked Heat | 32c | 1,461$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Clippers | 68c | 1,461$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Clippers | 74c | 1,450$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.05 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Clippers | 71c | 1,289$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.81 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…4544backed Clippers | 75c | 1,267$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b8adbacked Clippers | 74c | 1,218$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 29c | 1,210$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.79 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Clippers | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.24 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…07cbbacked Clippers | 68c | 1,199$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…482abacked Heat | 32c | 1,199$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Heat | 23c | 1,180$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…55bfbacked Heat | 27c | 1,132$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 33cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Heat | 25c | 1,109$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Heat | 33c | 1,066$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.78 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Clippers | 70c | 1,000$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.02 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Heat | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Heat | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Clippers | 68c | 992.44$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 31c | 958.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Heat | 26c | 943.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…cfb2backed Heat | 6c | 906.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…dae7backed Heat | 38c | 899.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 31c | 883.78$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Heat | 28c | 874.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.54 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Heat | 30c | 860$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 25c | 855.75$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Heat | 35c | 852$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Clippers | 71c | 843.96$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…2985backed Clippers | 68c | 824.22$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…acd6backed Heat | 32c | 824.22$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Heat | 28c | 787.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 9c | 777$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Heat | 34c | 765.97$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Heat | 33c | 750$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74b…924ebacked Heat | 33c | 745.45$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…ba90backed Clippers | 67c | 735.33$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 29c | 728$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Heat | 29c | 689.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Clippers | 63c | 626.62$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.85 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Heat | 28c | 624.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Heat | 32c | 621.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Clippers | 69c | 620.29$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Heat | 16c | 619.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…a2a7backed Heat | 32c | 616.52$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…4845backed Clippers | 68c | 616.52$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Heat | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Heat | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Clippers | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Heat | 24c | 571.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…e247backed Heat | 18c | 571.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Heat | 27c | 564.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Heat | 32c | 560.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Heat | 34c | 538.35$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked Clippers | 54c | 537.42$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.