TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x725f…06c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,901
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 51 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1,888 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.73
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.15
Showing 25 of 1,888 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$127.73
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$251.38
Texans vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 6 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+64.6%+$129.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Solana reach $250 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+46%+$229.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.