NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f307cf8972d1e394215940fb2d676624af4de33a1b654a71f28451e3044967c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $932,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $932,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 637 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cowboys | 2c | 81,384$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.51 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cowboys | 11c | 75,118$8,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,297.74 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…d2f5backed Cowboys | 24c | 40,548$9,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,789.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Cowboys | 7c | 36,545$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Cowboys | 23c | 34,454$7,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,924.33 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Cowboys | 4c | 20,084$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.16 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Texans | 77c | 19,689$15,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.45 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Cowboys | 2c | 19,590$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.68 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Cowboys | 5c | 18,824$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cowboys | 24c | 17,700$4,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.02 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Cowboys | 5c | 9,168$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.8 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Cowboys | 14c | 7,179$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…c6e3backed Texans | 77c | 6,991$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.78 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…55e4backed Cowboys | 4c | 6,617$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.66 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…47bebacked Cowboys | 15c | 6,607$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Cowboys | 24c | 6,438$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.91 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…3b35backed Texans | 77c | 6,364$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Cowboys | 15c | 5,824$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.29 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed Texans | 77c | 5,080$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…a7dfbacked Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…ffd9backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…ed0bbacked Texans | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…b6ccbacked Cowboys | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…4cc6backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4a65backed Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…cbe5backed Cowboys | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…9c2fbacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…5711backed Cowboys | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a1e9backed Texans | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…9e19backed Texans | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…8e55backed Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…d5f7backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…df07backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…602fbacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…19a9backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…54f8backed Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…e39abacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…894bbacked Texans | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…96efbacked Cowboys | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…8861backed Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…664cbacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…afdabacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…cb1cbacked Texans | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Cowboys | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Texans | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…cb73backed Cowboys | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Cowboys | 23c | 4,463$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.48 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Cowboys | 23c | 4,390$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Cowboys | 23c | 4,383$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.2 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Cowboys | 3c | 3,674$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…c8bbbacked Cowboys | 24c | 3,328$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Texans | 76c | 3,300$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.99 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Texans | 77c | 2,940$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Cowboys | 25c | 2,940$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Texans | 77c | 2,729$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Cowboys | 26c | 2,723$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…38afbacked Cowboys | 25c | 2,603$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…37e2backed Cowboys | 26c | 2,392$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Texans | 78c | 2,235$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.29 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…4940backed Cowboys | 18c | 2,056$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cowboys | 23c | 2,047$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.43 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Cowboys | 18c | 2,032$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…3b5abacked Texans | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…3a36backed Cowboys | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cowboys | 15c | 1,980$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.04 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Cowboys | 24c | 1,965$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Texans | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Cowboys | 15c | 1,867$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.13 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…f0ddbacked Texans | 77c | 1,866$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Texans | 76c | 1,819$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…a568backed Cowboys | 25c | 1,714$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cowboys | 18c | 1,710$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cowboys | 5c | 1,649$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cowboys | 7c | 1,531$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Cowboys | 10c | 1,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…c545backed Cowboys | 17c | 1,489$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…a9e4backed Texans | 77c | 1,484$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…03fcbacked Cowboys | 24c | 1,484$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Texans | 79c | 1,481$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…879bbacked Texans | 77c | 1,416$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…f0c2backed Texans | 77c | 1,386$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…cf81backed Cowboys | 24c | 1,385$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…1fcbbacked Texans | 77c | 1,335$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…51adbacked Texans | 76c | 1,330$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Texans | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…1b05backed Cowboys | 25c | 1,302$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Texans | 77c | 1,301$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.3 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.