TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe91…70ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
440
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST13751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.56
Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+31.9%+$34.19
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,001.86
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+368.1%+$381.71
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.81
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+51.5%+$208.42
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$94.67
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$394.98
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$19.49
Chiefs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$136.09
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+181.1%+$4,113.1
Texans vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$1,008.2
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+92.3%+$432
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$6,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$6,723.93
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,556Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+255.7%+$6,535.76
Falcons vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+72.9%+$318.51
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$586.59
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+112.8%+$953.99
Rams vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$166.82
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$3,411.56
Jaguars vs. Lionsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$678.96
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$2,240.56
Lions vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$917.98
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,844Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+32.6%+$601.44
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT10848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+2,848.6%+$505.17
Will Ollie Watkins be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.78
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$46.88
Will Leicester City be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.89
Will Everton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.49
Will Wolverhampton be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$5.65
Will Brentford vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+35.1%+$11.56
Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$512.51
Will Wolves win on 2024-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$255.15
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$389.32
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+502.2%+$1,374.3
Will Bournemouth vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+32.6%+$154.8
Will Tottenham beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$366.97
Will the match between Brighton and Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$224.51
Will Manchester United beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$361.29
Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+79%+$904.17
Will Wolverhampton beat Brentford?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$67.75
Will Brentford beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+118.6%+$39.27
Will the match between Everton and Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$120.1
Will Everton beat Newcastle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$116.3
Will Newcastle beat Everton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+83.7%+$112.6
Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+260.1%+$650.09
Will the match between West Ham and Ipswich Town end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+36.2%+$478.16
Will Manchester City beat Fulham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+29.3%+$10.78
Will Ipswich Town beat West Ham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+32.2%+$32.14
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT4729.8%14 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.98
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.94
Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$603.57
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$80.58
Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$16.34
Will Bobby Jindal be Trump's HHS Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.28
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$997.55
Will Andrew Bailey be Trump's Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$97.34
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,118.75
Will Mike Davis be Trump's Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$77.78
Will Mike Lee be Trump's Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60.29
Will Ken Paxton be Trump's Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$129.2
Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+26.3%+$1,416.18
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.06
Will Christopher Miller be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55.25
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,954.26
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$4,409.5
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+27.1%+$673.87
Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$67.43
Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$209.87
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+277%+$1,009.92
Will Trump nominate Sid Miller for Agriculture Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$17.82
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10.89
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+43%+$217.71
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monaco beat Dinamo Zagreb?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+146.5%+$598.58
Will the match between Liverpool and Bologna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$396.91
Will Juventus beat RB Leipzig?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$424.68
Will Liverpool beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$760.84
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$851.51
Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Monaco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+361.4%+$176.34
Will RB Leipzig beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$786.82
Will Club Brugge beat Sturm Graz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,228.37
Will Sturm Graz beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$665.6
Will the match between LOSC Lille and Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+31.3%+$342.63
Will the match between RB Leipzig and Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+44%+$550.16
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,889.59
Will Aston Villa beat Bayern Munich?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,066Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$7,772.81
Will Girona beat Feyenoord?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$129.57
Will Feyenoord beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+174.2%+$514.86
Will the match between Girona and Feyenoord end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+36.4%+$72.53
Will Atalanta beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$519
Will the match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Atalanta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$333.6
Will Red Star Belgrade beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$121.8
Will the match between Barcelona and Young Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will the match between PSV and Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+300%+$202.49
Will Sporting CP beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+60.2%+$236.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Arsenal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$40.01
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+74.1%+$134.41
Will Barcelona beat Young Boys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$171.9
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Texas A&M beat Mississippi State?backed MIss St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Georgia beat Alabama?backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$468
Will Georgia beat Alabama by 2 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$969.05
Will Oklahoma State beat Utah by 2 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$126.9
Will USC beat Michigan?backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$170.1
Will Clemson beat NC State by 19 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$288.76
Will Clemson beat NC State?backed NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.45
Will Nebraska beat Illinois?backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+334.5%+$2,230.62
Will Nebraska beat Illinois by 8 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+106%+$581.91
Will Texas A&M win by 4 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,687
Will Texas A&M beat Florida?backed Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,746.88
Will LSU beat South Carolina?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+39.8%+$397.88
Will USC win by 28 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$68.69
Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M winner?backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$275.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+2,400%+$259.2
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+41.8%+$1,416.27
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+36.9%+$1,140.49
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20,147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+42.9%+$8,645.31
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Democrats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$5,212.14
Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$12,815.33
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$11,047.31
Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$18.98
Will a Republican win Connecticut US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$10.02
Will a Republican win New York US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$10.16
Will a Republican win New Mexico US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$30.82
Will a Democrat win Indiana US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$11.13
Will a Democrat win New Jersey US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$15.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2024, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Griff win the WSOP main event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$91.85
Will Jonathan Tamayo win the WSOP main event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2024, EDT+279.1%+$1,212.56
Will Niklas Astedt win the WSOP main event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2024, EDT+73.6%+$1,138
Will Jason Sagle win the WSOP main event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will Brian Kim win the WSOP main event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2024, EDT+27%+$357.56
Will Joe Serock win the WSOP main event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$138.2
Dan Bilzerian biggest loser?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.4
Ryan Garcia biggest loser?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.05
Jimmy Butler biggest loser?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2024, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+207.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+2,390.3%+$1,881.91
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$55.48
Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$192.96
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 20-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+43.4%+$477.52
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.31
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$57.09
Trump posts 35-39 times on X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,618Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+33.6%+$543.33
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$192.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-80.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2024, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+128%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,845Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+77.3%+$12,246.74
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+178.8%+$1,223.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+91.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,849Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+282.3%+$8,042.43
SpaceX Starship launch today? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$132.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28,213Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+43.7%+$12,328.4
Trump family comments on $DJT by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,642Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+59%+$2,737.88
Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?backed Hans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$332.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL: Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+109.1%+$183.86
NHL: Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$256.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$244.28
Fed emergency rate cut in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$242.98
Will Max Verstappen win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$272.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$607.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$213.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.