NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4eeb9c54d28bc7975e309a299fbefc4b189ef5ed242ee66853032e109a5caec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $838,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $915,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $838,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 673 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Packers | 63c | 72,859$46,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,811.31 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bears | 40c | 28,944$11,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,619.58 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 34c | 27,649$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,342.47 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…bc4ebacked Packers | 79c | 25,418$19,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Bears | 21c | 21,546$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.27 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Packers | 52c | 16,842$8,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,055.76 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Packers | 67c | 14,014$9,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.16 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 33c | 11,523$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.89 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Packers | 71c | 11,281$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.84 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…6745backed Packers | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…c9c6backed Bears | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Bears | 35c | 9,680$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.56 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Packers | 68c | 7,883$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bears | 32c | 6,197$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.25 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…f21fbacked Bears | 1c | 6,073$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bears | 30c | 6,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.99 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Bears | 51c | 5,662$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.38 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bears | 53c | 5,625$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.15 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Packers | 72c | 5,417$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.9 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Bears | 30c | 5,068$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.93 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bears | 29c | 5,015$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.35 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…83d6backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3e9dbacked Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Bears | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…ffd9backed Bears | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Bears | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…ed0bbacked Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…b702backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…aa83backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Packers | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Bears | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…92b2backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Packers | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4a65backed Packers | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…cbe5backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…fe32backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f117backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…2650backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…c77fbacked Packers | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…8208backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1f86backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…5711backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a1e9backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…9e19backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Packers | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…cbb9backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…0100backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…bd07backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…71f9backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…c65dbacked Packers | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked Bears | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…df07backed Bears | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5986backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…d9d0backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…602fbacked Packers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…782ebacked Bears | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…b917backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…54f8backed Packers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…35a7backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Bears | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…23d7backed Bears | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…ede1backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…96efbacked Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…ee2dbacked Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…664cbacked Packers | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…b20ebacked Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…d370backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8a…845abacked Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…b485backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…aed3backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…ac41backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked Bears | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2c…a4cebacked Bears | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…afdabacked Packers | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…cb1cbacked Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…9098backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…7bb6backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…2fe6backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5a3fbacked Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…a248backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Bears | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…fc22backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Packers | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…cb73backed Bears | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…9095backed Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c8…31bcbacked Packers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Bears | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Packers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bears | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Bears | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Packers | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Bears | 28c | 4,709$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.43 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bears | 49c | 4,464$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.86 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bears | 28c | 4,460$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Packers | 75c | 4,000$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…19a9backed Bears | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.