TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb79…c2c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
887
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT33752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 337 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,050
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.63
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$20.34
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.44
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$703.19
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,154.89
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$43.76
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.89
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,692Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$3,398
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,527Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$752
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$933.32
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$141.03
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+525%+$3,867.79
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,808.77
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.43
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,298.84
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$684.41
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,829.27
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.97
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+482.7%+$9,875.91
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$783.19
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,954Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$1,615.2
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,919.36
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$398.39
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$636.94
Showing 25 of 337 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT14659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,098.48
Will Leicester win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$51.54
Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,447Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$815.75
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$1,156.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,718Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+81.7%+$2,220.25
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$6,275
Will Arsenal vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$34.53
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,547Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$4,608.24
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,030.74
Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,390.64
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.04
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,551Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,321.3
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+127.6%+$10,676.09
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,659.08
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,767Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,279.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$451
Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,027.16
Will Everton win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,522Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$2,973.42
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$3,016.07
Will Brentford win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$4,067.18
Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$179.24
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+34.9%+$2,468.02
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,686.64
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+102.2%+$759
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+56.2%+$360
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST9645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 22 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$587.41
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16,674.74
Chiefs (-1.5) vs. Eagles Spreadbacked Eagles +1.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+96.8%+$144.63
Total Over/Under 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$6,913.03
Will Jalen Hurts score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$459.99
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,953Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+100%+$1,953.36
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,544.62
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+90.4%+$1,644.09
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$618.99
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,679.52
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$7,360
Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+42.5%+$288.17
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$113.11
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$4,688.39
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33.51
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+426.3%+$16,200
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,962.78
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$129.82
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$8,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$8,727.47
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,649Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+75.9%+$3,528.24
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,782Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+116.7%+$16,088.53
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+52.6%+$173.15
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$5,885.38
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+25.2%+$259.57
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,864Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+276.8%+$7,927.49
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2025, EDT9459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$40.5
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$19.4
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,653
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$766.52
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$580.18
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$878.32
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,796.51
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$43.73
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+156.7%+$3,052.36
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$272.24
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$970.2
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+37%+$277
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,635Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$574.38
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$125.44
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,424.36
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$43.44
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$244.99
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+66.7%+$400
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$216.43
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+96.1%+$307.21
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,720.68
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,754.92
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,561.96
Blues vs. Capitalsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+150%+$1,988.47
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT8748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,949.99
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$33.79
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.02
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+58.1%+$784.64
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Atlético Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,028.48
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,751.9
Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$856.43
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.86
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,152.77
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$740.6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$694.13
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,368.79
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+25%+$400
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,757.04
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$6,521.87
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,763Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+67.4%+$3,209.9
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$283.22
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$132.02
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$129.2
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,711.13
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$437.41
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,857Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$914.64
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT7862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$186
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,062Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,508.37
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,375.19
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$453.72
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$2,067.5
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$4,069.78
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,812Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+76.5%+$3,679
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.11
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,555.9
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$872.58
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+34.2%+$2,220.24
Will FCSB win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$778.65
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,111.5
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,937Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,936.73
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$6,009.97
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+300%+$238.76
Will Ajax win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,545Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$7,089.94
Will Ferencvarosi TC win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,068Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$916.5
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+100%+$12.5
Will Bodo Glimt beat FC Twente?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$210.02
Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,350.64
Will Ajax Amsterdam beat Union St.-Gilloise?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$6,317.27
Will Fenerbahce beat Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+61.4%+$123.32
Will Slavia Praha beat Malmo FF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.81
Will Manchester United beat FCSB?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$1,826.64
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,871.4
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$655.98
Will Ohio State beat Oregon by 3 or more points?backed Ohio St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+102.1%+$357.5
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$5,260.66
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+138.5%+$136.51
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+108.3%+$720.3
Georgia Southern vs. Sam Houstonbacked Sam Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+170.3%+$1,718.04
California vs. UNLVbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$487.75
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$795.47
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$1,128.7
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,070Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+201%+$8,182.43
South Carolina vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$182.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Turner vs. Bahamondesbacked Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.35
Lemos vs. Lucindobacked Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+127.9%+$2,934.21
Kape vs. Almabayevbacked Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.18
Brundage vs. Marquezbacked Marquez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,004.34
Haqparast vs. Ribovicsbacked Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+222.6%+$132.47
Tafa vs. Teixeirabacked Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,519Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$3,996.46
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$1,837.62
Kowalkiewicz vs. Gomesbacked Gomes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+40.8%+$5.2
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$17.26
Magomedov vs. Petrosyanbacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$579.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2024, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marquette vs. St. John'sbacked Marquette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140
Michigan vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$580
Alabama vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,766Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+69.6%+$1,925.7
Old Dominion vs. Georgia Statebacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$1,080
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan beat Lazio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+82%+$1,965.7
Will Inter Milan beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$424.53
Will Juventus beat Inter Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,589.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$98.22
ATP Finals: Alcaraz vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$16.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto beat Sporting CP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$435.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.