NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7a34a648177ac826c9bf8a76934d1079e6a602fe9192d2ea6fbce64be89eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 47c | 6,151$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.07 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Capitals | 53c | 5,846$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.56 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rangers | 47c | 5,158$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.36 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Capitals | 49c | 2,083$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.3 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Capitals | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rangers | 48c | 1,651$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.56 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…2f30backed Capitals | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Rangers | 47c | 1,498$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 65c | 1,076$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Rangers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rangers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 47c | 999.97$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.75 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Capitals | 38c | 972.32$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.32 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…70b0backed Capitals | 50c | 961.41$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 53c | 738.03$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.78 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cad…d424backed Capitals | 49c | 692.91$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Rangers | 48c | 674.39$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.08 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Capitals | 27c | 552.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9433…6ae4backed Rangers | 48c | 510$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…f6fdbacked Rangers | 48c | 508$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 48c | 499.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Rangers | 51c | 499.43$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…b50ebacked Rangers | 48c | 495$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Capitals | 52c | 463.83$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Capitals | 52c | 445.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…a6b7backed Capitals | 29c | 430$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +242.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Rangers | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Capitals | 54c | 400$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 51c | 369.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 51c | 353.87$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers | 49c | 337.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals | 45c | 333.72$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 51c | 327.96$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Capitals | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…a714backed Capitals | 52c | 301$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 54c | 299.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Rangers | 35c | 278$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…8546backed Capitals | 43c | 267$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 52c | 266.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rangers | 47c | 252.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Capitals | 52c | 249.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers | 50c | 248.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…df17backed Capitals | 52c | 217$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Capitals | 53c | 211.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Rangers | 48c | 209.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Rangers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…1833backed Rangers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…c5cdbacked Capitals | 52c | 206$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…f4fdbacked Rangers | 48c | 206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Capitals | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…854dbacked Rangers | 51c | 191$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Capitals | 53c | 189.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…3fc8backed Capitals | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…05dcbacked Rangers | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 39c | 176.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Rangers | 77c | 176.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…d1d9backed Rangers | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Rangers | 50c | 170.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 48c | 166.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…ad3cbacked Rangers | 48c | 163$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…12a5backed Capitals | 54c | 155.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…1d93backed Rangers | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…de55backed Capitals | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2710backed Rangers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed Capitals | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…1a6ebacked Rangers | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Capitals | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…cd0ebacked Rangers | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Capitals | 52c | 143$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…adc0backed Capitals | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Rangers | 48c | 138.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…ce68backed Rangers | 48c | 136.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 25c | 132.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…dd66backed Capitals | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…ccb0backed Rangers | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadab…2f80backed Rangers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…4e10backed Rangers | 49c | 124.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Rangers | 47c | 122.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cb…6741backed Rangers | 52c | 121.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…e156backed Capitals | 53c | 121.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…6986backed Rangers | 53c | 121$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…119abacked Capitals | 55c | 119.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fa…5c15backed Rangers | 52c | 119.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Rangers | 48c | 113$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…48cbbacked Rangers | 49c | 111.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…0808backed Rangers | 49c | 111.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e6debacked Rangers | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…7825backed Rangers | 51c | 108.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Capitals | 33c | 107.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…b15cbacked Capitals | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…dd54backed Capitals | 54c | 105.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…9084backed Capitals | 52c | 105.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.