TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34a1…6c73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.21
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.61
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$75.24
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.69
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.12
Blackhawks vs. Bruinsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$90
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$73.92
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$89.04
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$68.64
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$80.64
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$58.5
Sweden vs. USAbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+212.5%+$81.6
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.9
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.4
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.75
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$95.76
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+203%+$134
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.3
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$86
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.6
Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$58.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.