NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d912915fd7cd506c2e8442858f241b3f08a9f82383b7bbf3f1e70d6de65d4ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Red Wings | 45c | 22,575$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,149.84 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lightning | 55c | 15,726$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,076.92 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Wings | 37c | 11,505$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.06 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Lightning | 78c | 7,015$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.53 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Red Wings | 19c | 5,260$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lightning | 56c | 5,252$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.14 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 55c | 4,537$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.4 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 58c | 3,419$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.21 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings | 8c | 2,653$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e7…6eb6backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…92fabacked Lightning | 56c | 2,494$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…0ffdbacked Lightning | 56c | 2,315$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…4e11backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,306$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,832$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Lightning | 58c | 1,734$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.46 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Red Wings | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Lightning | 57c | 1,599$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 57c | 1,572$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.16 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 57c | 1,304$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.4 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 71c | 1,004$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Wings | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Red Wings | 42c | 894.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3979…7f65backed Red Wings | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2991…c921backed Lightning | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…4aabbacked Red Wings | 10c | 783$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Red Wings | 44c | 559.17$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.42 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning | 57c | 529$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…3097backed Lightning | 58c | 494.49$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Lightning | 69c | 482.68$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 42c | 413.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Red Wings | 36c | 401.23$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 341.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Lightning | 57c | 317$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 38c | 291.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…bf99backed Red Wings | 43c | 260.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lightning | 79c | 253.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Lightning | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…e26fbacked Lightning | 57c | 250.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Red Wings | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 227.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…180abacked Lightning | 57c | 217.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…f922backed Red Wings | 43c | 207.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 57c | 206.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Red Wings | 25c | 201$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings | 34c | 178.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Red Wings | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Red Wings | 43c | 140.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…76cebacked Lightning | 57c | 105.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…32fabacked Lightning | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Lightning | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…de55backed Lightning | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…eda0backed Red Wings | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…d9e2backed Lightning | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…5dd7backed Red Wings | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…87e8backed Lightning | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…9e70backed Lightning | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Lightning | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…c574backed Red Wings | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…a992backed Red Wings | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…c0e3backed Lightning | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…7a92backed Red Wings | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…c7b6backed Red Wings | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Red Wings | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…56e1backed Red Wings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…d3f1backed Lightning | 57c | 97.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…d1dabacked Lightning | 57c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…2899backed Red Wings | 43c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Red Wings | 44c | 91.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Lightning | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…1cf1backed Lightning | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…087ebacked Red Wings | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…d3afbacked Lightning | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…848fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…91f4backed Red Wings | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Lightning | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…cd0ebacked Lightning | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…73e9backed Red Wings | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Lightning | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd465…5fe8backed Lightning | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…ec2fbacked Lightning | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f8…76abbacked Lightning | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…154cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…8ef3backed Lightning | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…666cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Red Wings | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Lightning | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…8984backed Lightning | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…5a2cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…60ffbacked Lightning | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Red Wings | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…81fcbacked Red Wings | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Red Wings | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1998…335bbacked Red Wings | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…f7f4backed Lightning | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Lightning | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…fb52backed Lightning | 57c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…423cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…8774backed Red Wings | 44c | 41.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.