TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9eb2…c8bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,772Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$629.82
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$1,338.33
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Torpedobacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$316.05
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$818.18
KHL: Torpedo vs. HC Sochibacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29.6%+$147.77
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Admiral Vladivostokbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29.2%+$145.77
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,713Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$734.06
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Spartak Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+71.3%+$712.8
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$257.58
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$347.46
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+89.5%+$357.98
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$760
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Traktorbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$450
Senators vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$816.89
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.5%+$5,650.94
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$32,000
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29,370Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$19,803.08
Golden Knights vs. Lightningbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,202.3
Kings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16,949Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+103.9%+$17,616.15
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,352Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$6,618.24
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,776Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$5,226.42
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,149Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$3,269.47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,097.17
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,558Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$4,553.7
Will Aston Villa vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,986.81
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$91.91
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10,149.45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,071Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+95.8%+$14,433.43
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10,453.91
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$20,128.7
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,866Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+186.6%+$18,406.45
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$349.98
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+40.8%+$980.28
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$5,067.94
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,982Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+50%+$2,493.42
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$4,984.63
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$2,829.65
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$10,588.2
Will Fulham win on 2024-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,956.22
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,454.55
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$610.05
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$6,765.96
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,425Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10,546.33
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$5,865.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,083.29
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$943.91
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13,676Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4,558.54
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,806Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+123.2%+$13,312.62
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19,877Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9,789.96
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,931.83
China Open: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,544Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$1,380.67
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,081.19
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,285Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$6,816.36
ATP Finals: Ruud vs. Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$650
ATP Finals: Zverev vs. Alcarazbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,558Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+106.4%+$1,657.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18,051.82
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,919Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$1,767.88
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,280.77
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,994.56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,488.26
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12,179.45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15,472.85
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10,656.11
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10,055Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+237.5%+$23,882.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+137.8%+$7,059.16
Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$6,049.22
Will Atletico Madrid beat Sparta Praha?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,046Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+71.5%+$3,608.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,987Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+166.6%+$8,305.64
Will Manchester City beat Sporting CP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18,673Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+78%+$14,559.72
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Slovan Bratislava?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,973Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+87.4%+$8,718.66
Will Bayern Munich beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,953.85
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,539.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,518.84
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,145.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,198.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14,000
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11,000
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10,152.32
BLAST Bounty: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$209.05
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,969.94
BLAST Rivals: Falcons vs. MOUZ backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$3,373.82
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+63.5%+$723.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+92.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Kenny's Young Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19,050.58
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$4,490.87
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$3,346.47
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$3,108.33
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,756Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+61.5%+$1,079.2
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$10,286.96
All 6 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$299.96
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+48.3%+$508.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+63.9%+$1,918.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,096Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,884.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,054.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,033Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$714.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,992Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$529.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil beat Venezuela?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.