Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7da51f6d461e78c95f371be09c16062c41ffabd93c83af3ed5ef688d20cb045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 54,257$41,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,977.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 20c | 46,004$9,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,795.15 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 23c | 14,497$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,162.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 13,592$10,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,465.52 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 52c | 9,670$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 48c | 7,891$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 19c | 6,554$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300.14 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 43c | 5,976$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.59 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 50c | 3,997$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.42 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 18c | 3,888$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.16 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 79c | 3,495$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.29 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,050$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 19c | 3,010$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 20c | 2,532$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 21c | 2,007$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.34 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 55c | 1,937$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.88 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 24c | 1,694$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 67c | 1,620$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,457$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.93 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 20c | 1,276$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.32 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,275$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 76c | 1,013$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.89 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 31c | 982.4$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 833.6$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.5 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 62c | 830.91$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.77 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 51c | 810$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 711$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 29c | 529.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.79 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 19c | 515.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 17c | 428.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…be77backed Yes | 50c | 397.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 55c | 393.02$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 23c | 350$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 43c | 299.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 23c | 295.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 271.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.97 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 41c | 229.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…9af0backed Yes | 23c | 214.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +280.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 75c | 148$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 51c | 129.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c805backed Yes | 18c | 114.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…f778backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 58c | 96.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…fb2cbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 23c | 58.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 37c | 56.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 37c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 20c | 51.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee68…9e8fbacked Yes | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f2b5backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f806backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Celtic vs. SC Braga end in a draw?No won
- Will Celtic win on 2025-10-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.