TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c57…eb35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
256
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6464.1%41 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will XRP reach $1.50 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.6%+$13.28
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$82.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.4
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$23.4
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$35.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.8
Will XRP dip to $2.50 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Will XRP dip to $2.60 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.4
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.4
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$25.9
Will XRP dip to $2.60 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.39
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Oscar Bobb score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.1
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$71.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+41%+$63.96
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.48
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$27.2
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will FBI send Pam Bondi the full Epstein files by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+64%+$19.19
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+32.5%+$6.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+71.4%+$12.5
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will Shedeur Sanders start a game for the Browns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Shedeur Sanders cut before Week 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.64
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$37.17
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.36
Albon vs. Sainzbacked Albon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+39.7%+$41.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$8.28
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$23.27
Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+207.6%+$135.37
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$67.35
Will Casper Ruud reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Jannik Sinner reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Novak Djokovic reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+383.1%+$158.6
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+166.7%+$25
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+57.7%+$7.32
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$15.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+111.8%+$23.75
PGA Championship: Hole in One? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+43.7%+$5.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.