Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82832c723ac5d76a9803fffeb6b84132c012634040ee25671f8fe09ddac3519b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 54c | 70,000$38,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,900 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 46c | 51,214$23,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,433.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 28c | 7,102$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.88 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 32c | 6,239$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.43 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 70c | 5,861$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.75 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 72c | 3,056$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 2,447$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.58 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 76c | 1,848$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 31c | 1,448$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.02 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 72c | 1,192$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 25c | 992.03$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 944$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.78 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 73c | 924.53$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 69c | 790$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 704.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed No | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 76c | 660.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 28c | 599.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 71c | 587.66$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…c7c7backed Yes | 75c | 580.79$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 34c | 579$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 35c | 540$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 72c | 417.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Yes | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 27c | 357.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 28c | 326.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 20c | 320.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 175.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 38c | 155.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 67c | 149.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 73c | 124.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 71c | 112.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 111.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 75c | 108.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 98.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…5631backed Yes | 69c | 88.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes | 69c | 72.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…963ebacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…fc4dbacked Yes | 70c | 71.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229d…0922backed No | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 71c | 53.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 31c | 47.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4b…8ab7backed Yes | 68c | 47.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…95dcbacked Yes | 75c | 39.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 61c | 36.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…8f1bbacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…a73fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 75c | 22.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…1595backed Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb467…acebbacked Yes | 67c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…ee68backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb2…1d5ebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…af7fbacked Yes | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.