TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0774…da5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3112.9%4 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.52
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.97
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.6
US forces in Yemen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Trump announce run for 3rd term?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will the U.S. House of Representatives session be announced by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.85
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will the government shutdown end November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.82
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$54.2
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.29
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+134%+$42.95
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.24
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.14
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+433.1%+$243.72
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.53
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$75
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.88
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$41.61
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.52
Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.61
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$24.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+334.8%+$53.9
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$33.1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$86
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Galions vs Barça eSports (BO5)backed Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
LoL: Misa Esports vs Los Ratones (BO3)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.74
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Barça eSports (BO1)backed Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$12.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.07
MSI Play-in: G2 vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
MSI Play-in: FURIA vs. GAMbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.36
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$80.92
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.79
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$144.76
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.38
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+88.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Girona win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Osasuna vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+328.6%+$69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Ethereum all time high by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$438.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Madison vs. Georgia Statebacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.