NBA · resolved market
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416095dbcaaefe3ec16fedb71a3680ecb90d2a8ecf43fe75a477b32953dd5693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 8,608$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…be56backed Yes | 0c | 5,527$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,675$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…6b46backed No | 65c | 4,607$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 78c | 4,493$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…2aa1backed Yes | 0c | 4,214$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes | 11c | 4,003$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.38 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…91c8backed Yes | 11c | 2,994$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…b6d3backed No | 70c | 2,156$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…1858backed Yes | 21c | 1,919$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 68c | 1,655$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 31c | 1,281$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…8002backed Yes | 2c | 1,230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 78c | 1,100$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…60bebacked Yes | 49c | 1,030$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…09bfbacked Yes | 39c | 949.64$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…7a98backed Yes | 30c | 943.46$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 35c | 805.71$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 68c | 729.49$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 54c | 713.02$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +306.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…e9e8backed Yes | 26c | 689.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 31c | 646.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 28c | 620$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Yes | 38c | 619.96$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked No | 65c | 614.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.04 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 70c | 532.31$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…15bfbacked Yes | 48c | 527.1$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…e211backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Yes | 26c | 487.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 42c | 463.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d5…992ebacked Yes | 55c | 453.63$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 32c | 420$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…f848backed Yes | 38c | 416.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked No | 62c | 402.84$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…c716backed Yes | 51c | 335.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Yes | 24c | 317$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed No | 70c | 314.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…3de9backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…55d8backed Yes | 39c | 255$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 67c | 249.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Yes | 19c | 242.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…2420backed Yes | 17c | 228.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 35c | 209.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81dd…90f6backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…beebbacked No | 69c | 201.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 12c | 200.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…3eb9backed No | 71c | 198.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…4badbacked Yes | 11c | 183.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 34c | 170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed No | 60c | 167.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…643dbacked Yes | 33c | 152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked No | 67c | 151$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…fb2cbacked No | 69c | 142.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 12c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…8252backed Yes | 39c | 127.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…a1fbbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Yes | 33c | 101.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…045fbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…87e7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…6ed0backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…7190backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked Yes | 30c | 99.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 32c | 91.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Yes | 34c | 87.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 79.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 60c | 77.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed No | 69c | 72.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…08d3backed Yes | 42c | 71.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 28c | 70.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…c8aebacked No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…0cb0backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bc…19ecbacked Yes | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…ed98backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…46f0backed Yes | 36c | 56.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…50efbacked Yes | 36c | 56.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…f303backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…1711backed Yes | 35c | 53.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…12c3backed Yes | 36c | 51.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…c7b9backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? this page
- Will Lebron announce he is returning to Cavaliers Tuesday? No won
- Will Lebron announce he's retiring Tuesday? No won
- Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?Yes won
- Will Lebron announce trade or trade request Tuesday? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.