TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee49…155e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT6552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$13.55
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$124.15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$148.12
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.5
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$33.29
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$152.56
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$36.58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$51.8
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$100.84
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.24
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+343.3%+$274.66
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$32.65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$137.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$7.78
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$64.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$44.11
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27.82
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$175
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$244.57
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$717.04
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$164.2
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.45
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+33%+$29.8
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.6
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.8%+$316.82
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+224%+$152.1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.99
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.3
US x Iran ceasefire before July? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$65.2
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.87
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.9
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+71.5%+$71.52
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$337.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.