World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa843b1e1d3545d090f351c322e9461bc31cbbdcd692fc6b5cba20b2b7e4cf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0050…cad1backed Yes | 32c | 1,150$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 38c | 859.91$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.4 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 30c | 823.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 65c | 488.53$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 431.82$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 68c | 399.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 6c | 360.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 336.79$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 6c | 247.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 6c | 243.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 68c | 235$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 33c | 234.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 17c | 207.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 194.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 28c | 180.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 177.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 164.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 160.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 77c | 150.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 147.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 12c | 140.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…0bb7backed Yes | 22c | 138.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 25c | 118.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 68c | 115$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 112$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 25c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 74c | 106$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 33c | 102.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 23c | 101.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 22c | 100.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…36cdbacked Yes | 13c | 88.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 66c | 85.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 82.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 72c | 76.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 45c | 67.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 74c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 65.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…edf6backed Yes | 30c | 64.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…3952backed Yes | 24c | 63.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 63.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 59.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 36c | 55.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed No | 74c | 54.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 71c | 53.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…675fbacked No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 32c | 52.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 30c | 50.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 36c | 46.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 70c | 46.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 64c | 46.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…dc7abacked Yes | 27c | 44.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 40.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 66c | 40.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 46c | 32.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 70c | 31.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 35c | 30.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 67c | 28.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 75c | 25.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 71c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 80c | 20.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 70c | 17.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d575backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 75c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.