TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5edc…bbad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
899
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: IPO, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT44366.1%293 W · 150 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 443 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.04
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.71
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$35.44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$20.31
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$218.7
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$8.47
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.13
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$10.36
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$13.93
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.66
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$16.95
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$12.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$31.3
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$17.08
Showing 25 of 443 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10756.1%60 W · 47 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.93
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$51.69
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31%+$28.4
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.01
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.01
Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$19.04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$25.68
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$76.42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.02
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+623.9%+$100.19
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+161.9%+$34.04
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$187.64
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+175%+$26.73
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$26.94
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT8854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$10.61
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$34.27
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+286.1%+$29.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.77
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$17.52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$202.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.57
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$18.42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$48.56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$39.37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$3.47
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$3.34
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$75.16
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$56.14
Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$24.98
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 66m and 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$30.83
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$13.1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$8.93
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$11.06
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.21
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$27.8
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+35%+$105.04
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$57.92
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$17.45
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$13.4
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.33
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$277.83
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$13.8
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$21.12
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4067.5%27 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$20.64
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$12.47
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$22.29
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.61
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.02
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.95
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.65
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.31
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+34%+$54.05
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$70.35
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.78
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$186.95
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$16.05
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$9.01
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.6
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42%+$10.92
Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$17.85
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.11
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$56.09
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.36
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$189.33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$12.56
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$4.46
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$14.03
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.15
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$177.67
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$8.35
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$8.01
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.97
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $9.5B and $11B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+372.5%+$47.64
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $25B and $28B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.32
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$57.1
Will Lime's market cap be between $1.4B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Lime's market cap be between $1.7B and $2B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.85
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+39%+$22.46
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$39.2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$42.49
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$5.69
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$36.45
Will Quantinuum's market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$25.14
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$10.32
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$23.5
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$22.3
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be at least $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$12.89
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $400M and $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$26.52
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$324.1
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.12
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.5
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$194.6
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.44
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$64.53
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.55
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$42.21
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$84.6
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Will Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.91
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$19.1
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+367.3%+$58.94
Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+132%+$14.23
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$98.91
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.53
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$152.15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+645.8%+$348.8
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.63
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.11
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$7
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$654.48
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will France win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.92
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.1
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$37.42
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.45
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.13
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.65
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$56.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto" - KAROL G first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.14
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 70k and 80k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be greater than 80k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+155.8%+$33.55
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.75
Will Olivia Rodrigo have 5 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.25
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+383.1%+$43.69
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$30.35
Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+34%+$3.81
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$43.64
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$65.96
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,827Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$1,202.19
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,083.36
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$2,106.46
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$54.34
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.55
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$154.8
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$7.1
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.01
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.53
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.8
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$8.64
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+97.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.25
Will Team Falcons win DreamLeague Season 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NRG win the EWC Valorant Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$5.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.