Fifa International · resolved market
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc96c93a1e80ffb7b5efeb2bd6c6a587ec16957eec8d2e823988cc51d6dac30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $734,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 61c | 35,481$21,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,643.24 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 49c | 35,381$17,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,876.62 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 26,314$9,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,731.65 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 23,173$16,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.66 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 30c | 21,317$6,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,395.12 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…f2dcbacked Yes | 72c | 19,305$13,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 10c | 14,743$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.45 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 57c | 11,481$6,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.02 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 10c | 9,697$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.73 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 8,748$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…a68fbacked Yes | 77c | 8,475$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 71c | 7,932$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.94 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed No | 10c | 7,593$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.28 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 7,439$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.63 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 6,783$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.98 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 45c | 6,627$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.34 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5adfbacked Yes | 68c | 6,300$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 12c | 5,739$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.01 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 37c | 5,682$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.21 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 28c | 5,283$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.25 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…20a2backed Yes | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 5,164$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.42 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 10c | 5,070$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.41 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 64c | 5,002$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.04 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.89 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 77c | 4,833$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.69 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 37c | 4,577$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.62 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Yes | 39c | 4,338$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.71 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 73c | 4,299$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.56 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 45c | 4,201$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.88 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 36c | 3,858$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.47 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 39c | 3,800$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.89 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 23c | 3,377$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 3,200$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 46c | 3,148$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.23 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…cf23backed Yes | 39c | 3,078$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 29c | 3,059$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 62c | 3,030$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.42 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 33c | 3,025$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.61 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.97 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 63c | 2,898$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.06 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 2,881$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.48 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 2,842$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.97 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 18c | 2,753$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.66 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…9d8ebacked No | 54c | 2,736$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.49 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 17c | 2,620$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.39 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…26f5backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed No | 62c | 2,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 69c | 2,309$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.57 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 61c | 2,295$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.78 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 2,226$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.61 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 73c | 2,218$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.15 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 38c | 2,176$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.31 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 68c | 2,092$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.23 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 29c | 2,047$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…6572backed Yes | 42c | 2,043$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 30c | 1,950$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.08 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 58c | 1,894$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.52 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 27c | 1,690$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.31 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…ca0dbacked No | 2c | 1,517$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.99 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 60c | 1,500$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.98 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 59c | 1,472$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.48 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,443$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.98 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Yes | 69c | 1,405$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.63 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 1,369$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 9c | 1,305$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 48c | 1,303$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.35 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 29c | 1,298$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.04 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…49bcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,258$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 1,240$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.01 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,232$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.85 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,218$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.46 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 15c | 1,208$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,206$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…c524backed No | 30c | 1,164$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.27 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 29c | 1,131$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 52c | 1,103$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.33 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed No | 31c | 1,099$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…c48bbacked No | 64c | 1,078$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…3b49backed No | 29c | 1,072$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 39c | 1,067$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.04 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…14c6backed No | 59c | 1,050$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…859abacked No | 3c | 1,048$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed No | 62c | 1,028$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.44 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.