TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8fe…3ee3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,080
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$280
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+987%+$6,809.74
International T20 Series: South Africa vs West Indies (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 5)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+173.9%+$1,311.1
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+114%+$309.59
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$148.33
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$61.75
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34.28
Will West Indies win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$80.18
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$390.71
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,561Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+65.6%+$1,679.57
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.05
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,425.7
Will West Indies win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49.89
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$246.89
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.34
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.45
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+275.3%+$393.27
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$63.09
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$178.1
Will South Africa win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$255.8
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+129.4%+$170
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,319.42
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,050.45
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.82
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.56
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.07
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.57
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$1,123.51
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+447.6%+$2,455.4
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.29
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,740.95
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$394.6
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$641.81
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.64
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.24
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.51
Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.78
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$233.49
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$277.12
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will BUF/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.68
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,832.16
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,271Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+163.8%+$2,082.97
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$128.6
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$908.32
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,417Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+52.4%+$742.63
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, and Kansas City Chiefs all win on Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$60
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.93
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.48
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$2,195.09
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+324.3%+$1,266.45
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,880.48
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.53
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,054.82
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,946.12
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.3
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$71.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-73.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-50%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$370
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$212
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$520.72
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$760.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$353.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.