Tennis · resolved market

Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05add62bdd6df7536c5d3e5204164884896557ca4f43b6c7012ebf3ae65d66cd

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $371,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $173,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,398 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	39,678$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.54	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes	2c	37,903$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	294	43.5%128 W · 166 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Yes	2c	33,107$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.34	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	1c	11,594$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.3	116	3.4%4 W · 112 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	2c	9,115$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	277	39%108 W · 169 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	2c	6,950$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.08	50	4%2 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes	2c	6,590$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.63	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+92%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	3c	6,489$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.99	1,883	44.8%843 W · 1,040 L	+36.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8835…7734backed Yes	3c	6,452$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	6,226$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.82	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	6,116$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.23	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	2c	6,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes	2c	4,927$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.84	185	41.1%76 W · 109 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	1c	4,783$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.01	444	23.9%106 W · 338 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7d…b30ebacked Yes	2c	4,275$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f50…a1c1backed Yes	3c	4,262$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.74	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	4,189$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.62	54	3.7%2 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	2c	4,036$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.74	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	2c	3,869$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f6…13e9backed Yes	2c	3,781$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Yes	2c	3,365$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	1c	3,337$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.13	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	3c	3,228$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	1,881	45.7%860 W · 1,021 L	+51.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9796…8718backed Yes	1c	3,174$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	1c	3,163$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	527	50.3%265 W · 262 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes	2c	2,573$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.72	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes	1c	2,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	163	55.8%91 W · 72 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes	2c	2,080$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.62	308	27.6%85 W · 223 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	101	57.4%58 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.83	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.19per pick	39cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	265	41.9%111 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb9…3965backed Yes	2c	1,983$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8560…ea55backed Yes	2c	1,862$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	2c	1,860$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.11	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b9…2478backed Yes	2c	1,819$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	1c	1,665$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ce…adbbbacked Yes	1c	1,627$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa983…7ab4backed Yes	1c	1,544$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.44	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Yes	1c	1,420$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	135	46.7%63 W · 72 L	+11.8wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	1c	1,384$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…527abacked Yes	2c	1,365$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes	2c	1,359$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x385b…b81dbacked Yes	2c	1,263$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c4…e64ebacked Yes	2c	1,209$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Yes	2c	1,176$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x002c…4167backed Yes	2c	1,107$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	3c	1,093$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.51	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4b…71b2backed Yes	2c	1,049$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f06…3ee7backed Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b3…4468backed Yes	2c	990$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes	3c	966.51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.31	100	28%28 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	2c	887.22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9d4…9002backed Yes	4c	886.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.33	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	3c	881.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.33	102	21.6%22 W · 80 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	2c	840$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+87.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	2c	833.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b1…01e5backed Yes	3c	734.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes	2c	731.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8398…047fbacked Yes	2c	692.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	17cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Yes	4c	674.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	548	44.5%244 W · 304 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	2c	631.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-53%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes	2c	522.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…d72bbacked Yes	2c	519.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecc…8422backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes	2c	495.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	476	53.2%253 W · 223 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f4…e22dbacked Yes	4c	292.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event