TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c17,339$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.922723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes3c15,986$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.39504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed Yes3c15,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-73.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes4c9,541$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.362119%4 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+92%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes4c6,845$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.166,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes3c6,675$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4527739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa108…abd3backed Yes5c6,126$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes3c6,066$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6721524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes4c6,016$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes4c5,002$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.41323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+369.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes3c5,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125248.3%2 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ca1…4268backed Yes2c4,288$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4715831%49 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes2c4,042$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9952750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes2c4,019$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3571.8%1 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick2cpaid+94.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes4c3,860$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.67933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f78…cc0bbacked Yes3c3,819$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…c646backed Yes5c3,666$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…9438backed Yes3c3,622$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fab…3cabbacked Yes3c3,589$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7926330.8%81 W · 182 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b13…0440backed Yes3c3,530$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes4c2,775$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.958226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes3c2,769$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.92828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes5c2,709$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.06224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes4c2,500$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.537238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Yes4c2,475$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9949847.2%235 W · 263 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes2c2,231$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.651163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes2c2,100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.34816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes3c2,041$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.588911.2%10 W · 79 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-83.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1400…ffd6backed Yes3c2,009$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452f…9b78backed Yes4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c1,999$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0910221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb143…3c17backed Yes4c1,939$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2667…74cfbacked Yes4c1,911$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes4c1,796$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.856944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b6…e20fbacked Yes1c1,752$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes3c1,750$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.753514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Yes4c1,705$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.23119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Yes3c1,699$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8725948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c4…331cbacked Yes2c1,645$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,639$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.72,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…4947backed Yes3c1,578$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402536%9 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4269…bd80backed Yes3c1,543$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes5c1,500$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6913050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced9…ff9dbacked Yes1c1,473$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb25…a01fbacked Yes1c1,441$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes3c1,376$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.053815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes3c1,372$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.273441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes3c1,350$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes1c1,305$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.741637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes3c1,284$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc445…f6ebbacked Yes4c1,214$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd80c…45ddbacked Yes2c1,158$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Yes3c1,141$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e5…a9f4backed Yes1c1,139$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8809…a365backed Yes1c1,125$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes4c1,115$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,101$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd558…0eacbacked Yes1c1,097$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes1c1,085$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.375416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff9…2d02backed Yes1c1,078$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93b…13a5backed Yes3c1,063$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ed…1ae4backed Yes2c1,060$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.381241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…f5f6backed Yes1c1,045$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e72…f437backed Yes1c1,045$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b0…0326backed Yes2c1,044$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes5c1,043$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.067330.1%22 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes2c1,035$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5210028%28 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbe…bbdabacked Yes1c1,004$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes3c1,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57bf…0884backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc022…5efdbacked Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed37…a898backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc6…02c0backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…0136backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73fc…0ec3backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95a…1a26backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b8…4481backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x925b…98f1backed Yes2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87b…8d24backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes3c999.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417149.1%84 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41b…3ba1backed Yes2c976$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c53…bb9cbacked Yes2c965$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa1…53f6backed Yes6c941.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.281216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes2c928.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9705…6844backed Yes2c928$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc24a…396abacked Yes2c915$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5321…32adbacked Yes1c895$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6766…b923backed Yes4c888.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick6cpaid+105.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x852e…98dabacked Yes1c879$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes2c874.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.744423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea96…9952backed Yes2c858$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff8d…2898backed Yes3c855.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254122%9 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ac2…64f9backed Yes2c847$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Yes2c789.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7313546.7%63 W · 72 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed Yes3c745.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.15022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d6…876fbacked Yes2c733$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ed…24d6backed Yes2c729$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes2c712.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes4c689.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.525433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes3c669.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.